{ "ticker": { "uuid": "375d9849-879a-4039-952e-b71aa61425bc", "symbol": "ALHG", "name": "Louis Hachette Group S.A.", "exchange": "PAR", "country": "FR", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^FCHI", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2a", "phase_label": "Stage 2A \u00b7 Early advance", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 78.248, "architecture_energy": 48.228, "architecture_maturity": 51.589, "architecture_confidence": 61.796, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 30.1, "rotation_up": 47.99, "upward_expansion": 74.73, "deceleration": 73.13, "rotation_down": 24.71, "downward_expansion": 6.06 }, "activity_lines": [ 1.7838, 1.774036, 1.730512, 1.68989 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.333333 }, "latest_close": 1.889, "trend_reference": 1.645845, "distance_from_trend": 0.147739, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 1.509094, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.251744, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 12.170642, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.167183, "excess_performance": 0.113871, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.147739, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.069344, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.251744, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.176264, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.121706, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.112792, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.167183, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.445095, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 8358310, "relative_activity": 1.599693, "balance": 1.445095, "dry_up": 1.024574, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.044753, "annualized_volatility": 0.278002, "from_high_reference": -0.014606, "from_low_reference": 0.415367 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 1.645845, "fair_value_reference": 1.509094, "structural_low": 1.334636, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 1, "median_return": -0.04009, "positive_rate": 0.0, "directional_follow_through": 0.0, "median_excess_return": -0.038589, "regime_survival": 1.0, "best_return": -0.04009, "worst_return": -0.04009, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, 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49.005884, "activity_lines": [ 1.763067, 1.750982, 1.694501, 1.660904 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 1.7, "volume": 3124717, "typical_volume": 5168712.95, "trend": 1.626703, "fair_value": 1.501823, "relative_strength": 5.224915, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 46.353898, "energy": 34.998797, "activity_lines": [ 1.739533, 1.7472, 1.700176, 1.666188 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 1.74, "volume": 5444644, "typical_volume": 5169865.05, "trend": 1.634915, "fair_value": 1.504625, "relative_strength": 5.987661, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 41.873323, "energy": 28.320697, "activity_lines": [ 1.7358, 1.748436, 1.708899, 1.673497 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 1.889, "volume": 8358310, "typical_volume": 5224947.3, "trend": 1.645845, "fair_value": 1.509094, "relative_strength": 12.170642, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 78.248479, "energy": 48.227881, "activity_lines": [ 1.7838, 1.774036, 1.730512, 1.68989 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }