{ "ticker": { "uuid": "376382b8-9362-4f65-b27f-19077c0973d8", "symbol": "UZU", "name": "Uzin Utz SE", "exchange": "GER", "country": "DE", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^GDAXI", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -60.319, "architecture_energy": 42.703, "architecture_maturity": 32.337, "architecture_confidence": 96, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 25.78, "rotation_up": 19.61, "upward_expansion": 5.79, "deceleration": 47.11, "rotation_down": 54.75, "downward_expansion": 79.13 }, "activity_lines": [ 60.360001, 61.116365, 62.405282, 64.557042 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Stable", "price_acceptance": -0.666667 }, "latest_close": 59.400002, "trend_reference": 67.485894, "distance_from_trend": -0.119816, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 54.629156, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.087332, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -20.184386, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.236965, "excess_performance": -0.301605, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.119816, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.040219, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.087332, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.181888, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.201844, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.18077, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.236965, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.115297, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 1810, "relative_activity": 0.91576, "balance": 0.115297, "dry_up": 0.628257, "accumulation_observations": 0, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.084508, "annualized_volatility": 0.433093, "from_high_reference": -0.306332, "from_low_reference": 0.125 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 67.485894, "fair_value_reference": 54.629156, "structural_low": 52.799999, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 17, "median_return": -0.020761, "positive_rate": 0.352941, "directional_follow_through": 0.647059, "median_excess_return": -0.025828, "regime_survival": 0.882353, "best_return": 0.149675, "worst_return": -0.259058, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": -0.122363, "positive_rate": 0.4, "directional_follow_through": 0.6, "median_excess_return": -0.084606, "regime_survival": 0.6, "best_return": 0.144231, "worst_return": -0.221284, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": 0.004219, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": -0.064901, "regime_survival": 0.333333, "best_return": 0.171367, "worst_return": -0.365066, "sufficient": false }, { 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"downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -45.548338, "energy": 27.72717, "activity_lines": [ 61.613335, 61.458183, 63.323161, 65.577932 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 60.8, "volume": 987, "typical_volume": 1938.1, "trend": 67.873741, "fair_value": 54.525678, "relative_strength": -16.342722, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -54.868523, "energy": 35.067168, "activity_lines": [ 61.200001, 61.385456, 62.904201, 65.103735 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 59.400002, "volume": 1810, "typical_volume": 1976.5, "trend": 67.485894, "fair_value": 54.629156, "relative_strength": -20.184386, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -60.318572, "energy": 42.703052, "activity_lines": [ 60.360001, 61.116365, 62.405282, 64.557042 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }