{ "ticker": { "uuid": "37745052-44ef-482c-87dc-8c896b7a6623", "symbol": "PCA", "name": "Palace Capital Plc", "exchange": "LSE", "country": "GB", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^FTSE", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -3.905, "architecture_energy": 15.839, "architecture_maturity": 76.809, "architecture_confidence": 40.152, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 45.0, "rotation_up": 43.04, "upward_expansion": 38.04, "deceleration": 38.69, "rotation_down": 15.88, "downward_expansion": 41.7 }, "activity_lines": [ 178.666667, 176.027273, 173.033333, 177.004928 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.666667 }, "latest_close": 176.0, "trend_reference": 184.861491, "distance_from_trend": -0.047936, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 216.111779, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.185607, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -18.152525, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.16965, "excess_performance": -0.235929, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.047936, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.05541, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.185607, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.046585, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.181525, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.062597, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.16965, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.529374, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 17811, "relative_activity": 0.027017, "balance": 0.529374, "dry_up": 3.544235, "accumulation_observations": 0, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.054523, "annualized_volatility": 0.202063, "from_high_reference": -0.247441, "from_low_reference": 0.096573 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 184.861491, "fair_value_reference": 216.111779, 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"stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -4.673271, "energy": 19.332976, "activity_lines": [ 178.133333, 173.690909, 172.339935, 178.031967 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 180.0, "volume": 39442, "typical_volume": 667509.7, "trend": 185.460235, "fair_value": 216.531935, "relative_strength": -16.767053, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -2.420775, "energy": 20.321159, "activity_lines": [ 179.566667, 175.327273, 172.820062, 177.615266 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 176.0, "volume": 17811, "typical_volume": 659255.1, "trend": 184.861491, "fair_value": 216.111779, "relative_strength": -18.152525, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -3.904773, "energy": 15.839374, "activity_lines": [ 178.666667, 176.027273, 173.033333, 177.004928 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }