{ "ticker": { "uuid": "37874b9c-ccdd-4898-b144-518c8a6fb6b5", "symbol": "WMMS", "name": "Amundi MSCI World IMI Value Screened Factor UCITS ETF USD Acc", "exchange": "GER", "country": "DE", "assetType": "etf" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-21", "benchmark": "^GDAXI", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 80.032, "architecture_energy": 84.928, "architecture_maturity": 38.15, "architecture_confidence": 92.507, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 3.9, "rotation_up": 70.6, "upward_expansion": 93.79, "deceleration": 45.14, "rotation_down": 21.68, "downward_expansion": 18.12 }, "activity_lines": [ 13.481067, 13.312764, 13.034162, 12.673346 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.833333 }, "latest_close": 13.572, "trend_reference": 12.227533, "distance_from_trend": 0.109954, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 10.626652, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.277166, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 10.197027, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.171212, "excess_performance": 0.136538, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.109954, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.065135, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.277166, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.045984, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.10197, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.043394, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.171212, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.491511, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 13179, "relative_activity": 1.309233, "balance": 1.491511, "dry_up": 2.144007, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.013773, "annualized_volatility": 0.101357, "from_high_reference": -0.010643, "from_low_reference": 0.384898 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 12.227533, "fair_value_reference": 10.626652, "structural_low": 10.87, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": 0.017161, "positive_rate": 1.0, "directional_follow_through": 1.0, "median_excess_return": -0.008933, "regime_survival": 1.0, "best_return": 0.032405, "worst_return": 0.008129, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false } ], "ledger": [ { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2026-05-29", "end": "2026-08-21", "tenure": "Established", "return": 0.058658, "active": true } ], "chart_path": [ { "date": "2024-11-22", "close": 9.679, "volume": 333, "typical_volume": null, "trend": null, "fair_value": null, "relative_strength": null, "stage": null, "regime": null, "modifier": null, "gate": null, "direction": null, "energy": null, "activity_lines": [ null, null, null, null ] }, { "date": "2024-11-29", "close": 9.688, "volume": 50, "typical_volume": null, "trend": null, "fair_value": null, "relative_strength": null, "stage": null, "regime": null, "modifier": null, "gate": null, "direction": null, "energy": null, "activity_lines": [ null, null, null, null ] }, { "date": "2024-12-06", 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84.532045, "activity_lines": [ 13.0204, 12.941855, 12.531971, 12.225849 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 13.146, "volume": 11217, "typical_volume": 6297.05, "trend": 11.928267, "fair_value": 10.498432, "relative_strength": 13.180183, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 78.141947, "energy": 74.328458, "activity_lines": [ 13.067333, 12.998618, 12.628724, 12.30911 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 13.082, "volume": 28581, "typical_volume": 7604.85, "trend": 11.998, "fair_value": 10.527461, "relative_strength": 9.814655, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 68.398963, "energy": 66.849417, "activity_lines": [ 13.075733, 13.027455, 12.711152, 12.383544 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 13.498, "volume": 24564, "typical_volume": 8697.35, "trend": 12.070267, "fair_value": 10.560467, "relative_strength": 9.824385, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 91.949487, "energy": 75.555226, "activity_lines": [ 13.22, 13.1228, 12.8244, 12.480318 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-14", "close": 13.638, "volume": 20004, "typical_volume": 9461.15, "trend": 12.1478, "fair_value": 10.594286, "relative_strength": 9.948688, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 91.996015, "energy": 76.578553, "activity_lines": [ 13.38, 13.231273, 12.938914, 12.581462 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-21", "close": 13.572, "volume": 13179, "typical_volume": 10066.2, "trend": 12.227533, "fair_value": 10.626652, "relative_strength": 10.197027, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 80.031804, "energy": 84.927755, "activity_lines": [ 13.481067, 13.312764, 13.034162, 12.673346 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }