{ "ticker": { "uuid": "379a401f-75e4-454c-b020-9781796cd511", "symbol": "IUSL", "name": "iShares Dow Jones Global Leaders Screened UCITS ETF USD (Acc)", "exchange": "GER", "country": "DE", "assetType": "etf" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^GDAXI", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 91.739, "architecture_energy": 73.662, "architecture_maturity": 39.38, "architecture_confidence": 80.838, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 4.2, "rotation_up": 72.05, "upward_expansion": 87.67, "deceleration": 54.89, "rotation_down": 20.54, "downward_expansion": 12.0 }, "activity_lines": [ 86.335334, 85.442546, 83.800048, 82.168731 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.833333 }, "latest_close": 88.800003, "trend_reference": 80.369, "distance_from_trend": 0.104904, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 69.40468, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.279453, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 5.496925, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.152349, "excess_performance": 0.087709, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.104904, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.039053, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.279453, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.079675, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.054969, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.015617, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.152349, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 3.371022, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 88687, "relative_activity": 2.244425, "balance": 3.371022, "dry_up": 1.25028, "accumulation_observations": 4, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.019248, "annualized_volatility": 0.114411, "from_high_reference": -0.002247, "from_low_reference": 0.253529 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 80.369, "fair_value_reference": 69.40468, "structural_low": 73.059998, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 43, "median_return": 0.014905, "positive_rate": 0.651163, "directional_follow_through": 0.651163, "median_excess_return": 0.006317, "regime_survival": 0.883721, "best_return": 0.065633, "worst_return": -0.064353, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 14, "median_return": 0.036102, "positive_rate": 0.785714, "directional_follow_through": 0.785714, "median_excess_return": 0.024528, "regime_survival": 0.714286, "best_return": 0.082559, "worst_return": -0.038075, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": 0.088694, "positive_rate": 0.714286, "directional_follow_through": 0.714286, "median_excess_return": 0.052403, "regime_survival": 0.571429, "best_return": 0.112189, "worst_return": -0.069725, "sufficient": true }, { 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80.867161 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 84.68, "volume": 31619, "typical_volume": 38776.25, "trend": 79.712, "fair_value": 68.998269, "relative_strength": 6.013936, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 67.015033, "energy": 70.421726, "activity_lines": [ 84.663333, 84.233091, 82.575953, 81.206538 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 85.849998, "volume": 27389, "typical_volume": 38076.2, "trend": 80.024, "fair_value": 69.190064, "relative_strength": 5.021302, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 76.945151, "energy": 66.326012, "activity_lines": [ 85.087333, 84.604, 83.069857, 81.602538 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 88.800003, "volume": 88687, "typical_volume": 39514.35, "trend": 80.369, "fair_value": 69.40468, "relative_strength": 5.496925, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 91.73866, "energy": 73.661626, "activity_lines": [ 86.335334, 85.442546, 83.800048, 82.168731 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }