{ "ticker": { "uuid": "37b88908-863e-44ae-b811-e14fe9e2a97d", "symbol": "POLYMED", "name": "Poly Medicure Limited", "exchange": "NSI", "country": "IN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^NSEI", "stage": 1, "stage_name": "Basing", "phase": "1b", "phase_label": "Stage 1B \u00b7 Basing", "transition": "stage_1_building", "transition_label": "Base still building", "confidence": 75.576, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 60.777, "architecture_energy": 43.511, "architecture_maturity": 19.323, "architecture_confidence": 81.74, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 22.89, "rotation_up": 58.84, "upward_expansion": 81.43, "deceleration": 55.67, "rotation_down": 19.19, "downward_expansion": 5.76 }, "activity_lines": [ 1686.553353, 1663.738201, 1598.8662, 1539.34022 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Stable", "price_acceptance": 0.833333 }, "latest_close": 1693.800049, "trend_reference": 1485.826668, "distance_from_trend": 0.139971, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 1880.962141, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.099503, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 2.394705, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.219087, "excess_performance": 0.262797, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.139971, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.049122, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.099503, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.003589, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.023947, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.08063, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.219087, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.667464, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 467058, "relative_activity": 0.873596, "balance": 0.667464, "dry_up": 0.803485, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.082318, "annualized_volatility": 0.446977, "from_high_reference": -0.208926, "from_low_reference": 0.432995 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 1485.826668, "fair_value_reference": 1880.962141, "structural_low": 1182.0, "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 23, "median_return": -0.020501, "positive_rate": 0.478261, "directional_follow_through": 0.478261, "median_excess_return": -0.002352, "regime_survival": 0.73913, "best_return": 0.332836, "worst_return": -0.110678, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 9, "median_return": 0.120261, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.666667, "median_excess_return": 0.090142, "regime_survival": 0.777778, "best_return": 0.385665, "worst_return": -0.220636, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": 0.065844, "positive_rate": 0.6, "directional_follow_through": 0.6, "median_excess_return": -0.0433, "regime_survival": 0.6, "best_return": 0.647582, "worst_return": -0.104365, 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"start": "2025-05-02", "end": "2025-06-20", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.174585, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2025-06-27", "end": "2026-05-08", "tenure": "Extended", "return": -0.228977, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2026-05-15", "end": "2026-06-26", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.100941, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_up", "label": "Rotation Up", "color": "teal", "start": "2026-07-03", "end": "2026-07-17", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.001609, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2026-07-24", "end": "2026-08-07", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.017909, "active": true } ], "chart_path": [ { "date": "2023-08-18", "close": 1334.188232, "volume": 399578, "typical_volume": 823726.6, "trend": 1032.090948, "fair_value": 846.638878, "relative_strength": 28.03871, 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"activity_lines": [ 1686.553353, 1663.738201, 1598.8662, 1539.34022 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }