{ "ticker": { "uuid": "37bd053a-47ec-4fde-b874-daf6c4fb8bcb", "symbol": "IVDA", "name": "Iveda Solutions Inc", "exchange": "NASDAQ", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "QQQ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -52.277, "architecture_energy": 38.509, "architecture_maturity": 100.0, "architecture_confidence": 80.562, "architecture_tenure": "Extended", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 39.55, "rotation_up": 13.46, "upward_expansion": 4.45, "deceleration": 45.83, "rotation_down": 59.45, "downward_expansion": 77.78 }, "activity_lines": [ 0.271467, 0.291776, 0.305332, 0.312949 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.666667 }, "latest_close": 0.305, "trend_reference": 0.370657, "distance_from_trend": -0.177136, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 2.984035, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.897789, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -65.025531, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.332604, "excess_performance": -0.520058, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.177136, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.369689, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.897789, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.013973, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.650255, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.12487, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.332604, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 25.221586, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 1653939, "relative_activity": 0.074948, "balance": 25.221586, "dry_up": 0.069274, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 0 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.312988, "annualized_volatility": 1.121257, "from_high_reference": -0.863839, "from_low_reference": 0.445498 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 0.370657, "fair_value_reference": 2.984035, "structural_low": 0.211, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 40, "median_return": -0.102933, "positive_rate": 0.35, "directional_follow_through": 0.65, "median_excess_return": -0.104749, "regime_survival": 0.925, "best_return": 2.038462, "worst_return": -0.663409, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 13, "median_return": -0.184466, "positive_rate": 0.384615, "directional_follow_through": 0.615385, "median_excess_return": -0.277435, "regime_survival": 0.769231, "best_return": 1.883117, "worst_return": -0.663356, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": -0.382353, "positive_rate": 0.142857, "directional_follow_through": 0.857143, "median_excess_return": -0.525819, "regime_survival": 0.714286, "best_return": 1.113821, "worst_return": -0.676316, "sufficient": true }, { 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"relative_strength": -72.914705, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -48.686033, "energy": 29.223394, "activity_lines": [ 0.307333, 0.321384, 0.316374, 0.341358 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 0.242, "volume": 1221675, "typical_volume": 22508469.0, "trend": 0.412563, "fair_value": 3.085596, "relative_strength": -73.154597, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -59.030823, "energy": 38.085047, "activity_lines": [ 0.277133, 0.305796, 0.310102, 0.32895 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 0.2515, "volume": 1674506, "typical_volume": 22431499.15, "trend": 0.391947, "fair_value": 3.034387, "relative_strength": -70.964294, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -57.204496, "energy": 44.707115, "activity_lines": [ 0.262633, 0.2933, 0.305063, 0.318559 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 0.305, "volume": 1653939, "typical_volume": 22067890.8, "trend": 0.370657, "fair_value": 2.984035, "relative_strength": -65.025531, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -52.277083, "energy": 38.509097, "activity_lines": [ 0.271467, 0.291776, 0.305332, 0.312949 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }