{ "ticker": { "uuid": "37c24ae7-9b95-41a0-8d3c-77d9053208cc", "symbol": "AAL", "name": "American Airlines Group Inc.", "exchange": "MEX", "country": "MX", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^MXX", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2a", "phase_label": "Stage 2A \u00b7 Early advance", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 38.897, "architecture_energy": 27.395, "architecture_maturity": 69.198, "architecture_confidence": 95.669, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.", "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down." }, "scores": { "balance": 44.34, "rotation_up": 27.01, "upward_expansion": 59.2, "deceleration": 88.29, "rotation_down": 31.3, "downward_expansion": 20.54 }, "activity_lines": [ 266.550001, 273.656, 260.420048, 248.057398 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.333333 }, "latest_close": 275.5, "trend_reference": 239.051333, "distance_from_trend": 0.152472, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 241.595897, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.140334, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 10.855957, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.049524, "excess_performance": 0.104191, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.152472, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.010823, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.140334, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.204598, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.10856, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.223673, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.049524, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 3.474889, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 7736, "relative_activity": 0.235708, "balance": 3.474889, "dry_up": 0.441702, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 0 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.091551, "annualized_volatility": 0.549271, "from_high_reference": -0.133648, "from_low_reference": 0.505464 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 239.051333, "fair_value_reference": 241.595897, "structural_low": 183.0, "invalidation": "A 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"rotation_up", "modifier": "Value reclamation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 55.741232, "energy": 81.74837, "activity_lines": [ 289.758668, 269.453456, 243.987525, 239.149721 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-10", "close": 291.459991, "volume": 23417, "typical_volume": 38717.5, "trend": 241.775, "fair_value": 241.990769, "relative_strength": 18.335553, "stage": 2, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Value reclamation", "gate": "up", "direction": 66.106849, "energy": 85.302076, "activity_lines": [ 294.681331, 276.499454, 249.967619, 242.406409 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 259.019989, "volume": 9990, "typical_volume": 37990.15, "trend": 240.912666, "fair_value": 241.752243, "relative_strength": 5.094517, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 64.765336, "energy": 74.210817, "activity_lines": [ 285.013328, 276.025089, 252.589333, 243.518988 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 249.990005, "volume": 15305, "typical_volume": 36287.2, "trend": 240.020666, "fair_value": 241.559935, "relative_strength": 1.794126, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 48.249985, "energy": 38.629124, "activity_lines": [ 272.22533, 273.331817, 254.188143, 244.104623 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 265.320007, "volume": 24956, "typical_volume": 33878.55, "trend": 239.531333, "fair_value": 241.529935, "relative_strength": 6.977241, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 39.954009, "energy": 23.91545, "activity_lines": [ 266.169334, 272.762364, 257.008429, 245.736839 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 275.5, "volume": 7736, "typical_volume": 32820.2, "trend": 239.051333, "fair_value": 241.595897, "relative_strength": 10.855957, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 38.897011, "energy": 27.395403, "activity_lines": [ 266.550001, 273.656, 260.420048, 248.057398 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }