{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "37e85094-da67-4f0b-8bc8-6ab4a8a4150f",
    "symbol": "CCU",
    "name": "Compania Cervecerias Unidas SA ADR",
    "exchange": "NYSE",
    "country": "US",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "SPY",
    "stage": 4,
    "stage_name": "Declining",
    "phase": "4c",
    "phase_label": "Stage 4C \u00b7 Repair watch",
    "transition": "stage_4_to_1_watch",
    "transition_label": "Stage 4 \u2192 1 repair watch",
    "confidence": 89.741,
    "architecture_regime": "balance",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Balance",
    "architecture_modifier": "Balance after decline",
    "architecture_gate": "down",
    "architecture_direction": -16.626,
    "architecture_energy": 11.67,
    "architecture_maturity": 19.104,
    "architecture_confidence": 60.251,
    "architecture_tenure": "New",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 55.15,
        "rotation_up": 30.78,
        "upward_expansion": 23.23,
        "deceleration": 42.58,
        "rotation_down": 24.03,
        "downward_expansion": 50.57
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        11.572,
        11.427273,
        11.450416,
        11.615678
      ],
      "activity_state": "Compressed",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": -0.166667
    },
    "latest_close": 11.95,
    "trend_reference": 12.085155,
    "distance_from_trend": -0.011184,
    "trend_direction": "Weakening",
    "fair_value": 11.861733,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.007441,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": -12.656951,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": -0.16356,
    "excess_performance": -0.289185,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.011184,
        "read": "Below"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.037847,
        "read": "Falling"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.007441,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.024356,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.12657,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.023095,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.16356,
        "read": "Negative"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 3.217928,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 482278,
      "relative_activity": 0.614501,
      "balance": 3.217928,
      "dry_up": 1.046515,
      "accumulation_observations": 4,
      "distribution_observations": 1
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.061437,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.318848,
      "from_high_reference": -0.211481,
      "from_low_reference": 0.130873
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 12.085155,
      "fair_value_reference": 11.861733,
      "structural_low": 10.567056,
      "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 13,
        "median_return": -0.021127,
        "positive_rate": 0.384615,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.384615,
        "median_excess_return": 0.002768,
        "regime_survival": 0.384615,
        "best_return": 0.062389,
        "worst_return": -0.163351,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 8,
        "median_return": -0.017417,
        "positive_rate": 0.5,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.5,
        "median_excess_return": -0.071895,
        "regime_survival": 0.125,
        "best_return": 0.44029,
        "worst_return": -0.238659,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 6,
        "median_return": -0.040111,
        "positive_rate": 0.333333,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.333333,
        "median_excess_return": -0.133738,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.510273,
        "worst_return": -0.318609,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": -0.171237,
        "positive_rate": 0.333333,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.333333,
        "median_excess_return": -0.042693,
        "regime_survival": 0.333333,
        "best_return": 0.152414,
        "worst_return": -0.231618,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "ledger": [
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2024-06-21",
        "end": "2024-08-02",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.052038,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2024-08-09",
        "end": "2024-11-01",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": -0.014545,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2024-11-08",
        "end": "2024-12-13",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.081751,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
        "start": "2024-12-20",
        "end": "2025-01-03",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.03856,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2025-01-10",
        "end": "2025-05-23",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 0.210144,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2025-05-30",
        "end": "2025-06-20",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.082905,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
        "start": "2025-06-27",
        "end": "2025-08-08",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.065167,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2025-08-15",
        "end": "2025-10-31",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.02057,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2025-11-07",
        "end": "2025-11-21",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.037368,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
        "start": "2025-11-28",
        "end": "2025-12-26",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.029148,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2026-01-02",
        "end": "2026-02-27",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.052881,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
        "start": "2026-03-06",
        "end": "2026-04-24",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.01235,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2026-05-01",
        "end": "2026-07-31",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 0.024978,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2026-08-07",
        "end": "2026-08-07",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.0,
        "active": true
      }
    ],
    "chart_path": [
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        "date": "2023-08-18",
        "close": 13.842494,
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        "typical_volume": 578978.55,
        "trend": 14.431767,
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        "relative_strength": 1.201074,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
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        "direction": -5.32326,
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2023-08-25",
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      },
      {
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      {
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      {
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      },
      {
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-04-17",
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      },
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      },
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
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      },
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      },
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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        "stage": 4,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
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        "relative_strength": -18.078053,
        "stage": 4,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
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        "typical_volume": 906936.1,
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        "relative_strength": -15.619135,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -51.078431,
        "energy": 32.301464,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 11.45,
        "volume": 1131731,
        "typical_volume": 878050.35,
        "trend": 12.181285,
        "fair_value": 11.896936,
        "relative_strength": -13.035268,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -48.945761,
        "energy": 28.42377,
        "activity_lines": [
          11.264,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 11.49,
        "volume": 606425,
        "typical_volume": 834743.0,
        "trend": 12.147589,
        "fair_value": 11.877656,
        "relative_strength": -13.366288,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -35.414595,
        "energy": 19.001984,
        "activity_lines": [
          11.344667,
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 11.95,
        "volume": 482278,
        "typical_volume": 784828.55,
        "trend": 12.085155,
        "fair_value": 11.861733,
        "relative_strength": -12.656951,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -16.625688,
        "energy": 11.669544,
        "activity_lines": [
          11.572,
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}