{ "ticker": { "uuid": "37f22cfb-9a27-49f9-94fe-82c13953af3d", "symbol": "000532", "name": "Zhuhai Huajin Capital Co., Ltd.", "exchange": "SHZ", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "399001.SZ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -62.112, "architecture_energy": 52.709, "architecture_maturity": 65.593, "architecture_confidence": 92.24, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 8.74, "rotation_up": 23.53, "upward_expansion": 8.3, "deceleration": 58.79, "rotation_down": 55.75, "downward_expansion": 81.63 }, "activity_lines": [ 10.433333, 10.628143, 11.35364, 12.106209 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.666667 }, "latest_close": 10.68, "trend_reference": 13.282109, "distance_from_trend": -0.195911, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 13.2847, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.196068, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -26.733066, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.323623, "excess_performance": -0.331022, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.195911, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.092368, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.196068, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.152558, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.267331, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.049011, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.323623, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.842314, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 23647295, "relative_activity": 0.786264, "balance": 0.842314, "dry_up": 0.839602, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.102984, "annualized_volatility": 0.452808, "from_high_reference": -0.438486, "from_low_reference": 0.104447 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 13.282109, "fair_value_reference": 13.2847, "structural_low": 9.67, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 17, "median_return": 0.011937, "positive_rate": 0.588235, "directional_follow_through": 0.411765, "median_excess_return": 0.044026, "regime_survival": 0.647059, "best_return": 0.175205, "worst_return": -0.117258, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 8, "median_return": -0.010042, "positive_rate": 0.375, "directional_follow_through": 0.625, "median_excess_return": 0.041583, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.095863, "worst_return": -0.151155, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": -0.006424, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": 0.10557, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.076712, "worst_return": -0.101077, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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}, { "date": "2026-07-10", "close": 10.53, "volume": 21945970, "typical_volume": 32443721.05, "trend": 14.019442, "fair_value": 13.301795, "relative_strength": -34.712706, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -74.025255, "energy": 78.869274, "activity_lines": [ 10.89125, 11.431179, 12.172893, 12.981721 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 10.3, "volume": 26568220, "typical_volume": 32458670.65, "trend": 13.852442, "fair_value": 13.297407, "relative_strength": -28.930713, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -74.963449, "energy": 77.893884, "activity_lines": [ 10.641549, 11.156873, 11.923449, 12.741757 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 9.79, "volume": 26691123, "typical_volume": 30363163.95, "trend": 13.655109, "fair_value": 13.289686, "relative_strength": -31.859726, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -77.953474, "energy": 70.552093, "activity_lines": [ 10.298275, 10.833027, 11.655767, 12.479664 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 10.65, "volume": 24099307, "typical_volume": 30328193.65, "trend": 13.463442, "fair_value": 13.286462, "relative_strength": -23.931237, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -65.122228, "energy": 58.449933, "activity_lines": [ 10.362667, 10.701788, 11.493989, 12.285786 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 10.68, "volume": 23647295, "typical_volume": 30075533.55, "trend": 13.282109, "fair_value": 13.2847, "relative_strength": -26.733066, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -62.111693, "energy": 52.70856, "activity_lines": [ 10.433333, 10.628143, 11.35364, 12.106209 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }