{ "ticker": { "uuid": "382c2bed-8ac3-4b0e-8029-ae0df949178d", "symbol": "TAOP", "name": "Taoping Inc", "exchange": "NASDAQ", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "QQQ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4a", "phase_label": "Stage 4A \u00b7 Breakdown", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -73.789, "architecture_energy": 79.734, "architecture_maturity": 24.0, "architecture_confidence": 73.072, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 18.12, "rotation_up": 8.18, "upward_expansion": 17.32, "deceleration": 37.07, "rotation_down": 77.62, "downward_expansion": 90.65 }, "activity_lines": [ 0.852973, 1.081231, 1.208026, 1.263508 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.666667 }, "latest_close": 0.7249, "trend_reference": 1.342987, "distance_from_trend": -0.460233, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 17.460446, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.958483, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -66.052454, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.503493, "excess_performance": -0.690947, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.460233, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.146911, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.958483, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.001169, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.660525, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.022483, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.503493, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 4.176583, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 5240062, "relative_activity": 13.486834, "balance": 4.176583, "dry_up": 4.038362, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.410646, "annualized_volatility": 0.814874, "from_high_reference": -0.822763, "from_low_reference": 0.385512 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 1.342987, "fair_value_reference": 17.460446, "structural_low": 0.5232, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 56, "median_return": -0.093962, "positive_rate": 0.303571, "directional_follow_through": 0.696429, "median_excess_return": -0.088646, "regime_survival": 0.946429, "best_return": 0.352518, "worst_return": -0.543554, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 18, "median_return": -0.364796, "positive_rate": 0.055556, "directional_follow_through": 0.944444, "median_excess_return": -0.357362, "regime_survival": 0.888889, "best_return": 0.174628, "worst_return": -0.626753, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 9, "median_return": -0.516856, "positive_rate": 0.0, "directional_follow_through": 1.0, "median_excess_return": -0.614779, "regime_survival": 0.777778, "best_return": -0.28619, "worst_return": -0.764833, "sufficient": true }, { 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"activity_lines": [ 1.462, 1.430305, 1.38947, 1.397868 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 1.27, "volume": 31843, "typical_volume": 114662.65, "trend": 1.4086, "fair_value": 19.73366, "relative_strength": -44.720087, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -34.902458, "energy": 13.438326, "activity_lines": [ 1.391667, 1.407015, 1.378813, 1.387851 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 0.8167, "volume": 142539, "typical_volume": 121052.85, "trend": 1.386823, "fair_value": 18.847549, "relative_strength": -62.554868, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -74.817323, "energy": 51.752483, "activity_lines": [ 1.186233, 1.301636, 1.325747, 1.349664 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 0.69, "volume": 861682, "typical_volume": 162251.35, "trend": 1.36349, "fair_value": 18.065415, "relative_strength": -67.282662, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -81.150798, "energy": 78.693088, "activity_lines": [ 0.983787, 1.182009, 1.263415, 1.304708 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 0.7249, "volume": 5240062, "typical_volume": 388531.65, "trend": 1.342987, "fair_value": 17.460446, "relative_strength": -66.052454, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -73.789003, "energy": 79.733639, "activity_lines": [ 0.852973, 1.081231, 1.208026, 1.263508 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }