{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "385aefc9-ac0c-441e-aa73-7106c89594b4",
    "symbol": "RUA",
    "name": "Rua Bioscience Limited",
    "exchange": "NZE",
    "country": "NZ",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^NZ50",
    "stage": 1,
    "stage_name": "Basing",
    "phase": "1b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 1B \u00b7 Basing",
    "transition": "stage_1_building",
    "transition_label": "Base still building",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "rotation_up",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Rotation Up",
    "architecture_modifier": "Emerging rotation",
    "architecture_gate": "mixed",
    "architecture_direction": 34.029,
    "architecture_energy": 50.015,
    "architecture_maturity": 10.037,
    "architecture_confidence": 71.667,
    "architecture_tenure": "New",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The Activity Line structure is rotating upward.",
        "body": "Fast Activity is improving relative to Slow Activity and price acceptance is strengthening. This is earlier than full positive Trend confirmation and remains a developing repair."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 32.03,
        "rotation_up": 68.77,
        "upward_expansion": 51.8,
        "deceleration": 37.84,
        "rotation_down": 21.37,
        "downward_expansion": 19.47
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        0.0362,
        0.0338,
        0.032067,
        0.031948
      ],
      "activity_state": "Moderate",
      "activity_direction": "Stable",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": 0.166667
    },
    "latest_close": 0.034,
    "trend_reference": 0.032367,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.050463,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 0.053429,
    "distance_from_fair_value": -0.36364,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": -4.890147,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": 0.030303,
    "excess_performance": 0.002029,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.050463,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.037393,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.36364,
        "read": "Below anchor"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.167041,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.048901,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.096467,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.030303,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 3.759985,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 309796,
      "relative_activity": 1.075787,
      "balance": 3.759985,
      "dry_up": 2.6588,
      "accumulation_observations": 3,
      "distribution_observations": 2
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.081448,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.484644,
      "from_high_reference": -0.423729,
      "from_low_reference": 0.307692
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 0.032367,
      "fair_value_reference": 0.053429,
      "structural_low": 0.028,
      "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 2,
        "median_return": -0.107333,
        "positive_rate": 0.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.0,
        "median_excess_return": -0.134274,
        "regime_survival": 0.5,
        "best_return": -0.048,
        "worst_return": -0.166667,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 1,
        "median_return": -0.333333,
        "positive_rate": 0.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.0,
        "median_excess_return": -0.398192,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": -0.333333,
        "worst_return": -0.333333,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 1,
        "median_return": -0.5,
        "positive_rate": 0.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.0,
        "median_excess_return": -0.555184,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": -0.5,
        "worst_return": -0.5,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 1,
        "median_return": -0.77436,
        "positive_rate": 0.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.0,
        "median_excess_return": -0.920668,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": -0.77436,
        "worst_return": -0.77436,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "ledger": [
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2022-04-29",
        "end": "2023-11-03",
        "tenure": "Extended",
        "return": -0.694872,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
        "start": "2023-11-10",
        "end": "2023-12-15",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.206667,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2023-12-22",
        "end": "2023-12-22",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.0,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2023-12-29",
        "end": "2025-05-16",
        "tenure": "Extended",
        "return": -0.766667,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2025-05-23",
        "end": "2025-07-11",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.0,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2025-07-18",
        "end": "2025-09-26",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.217391,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2025-10-03",
        "end": "2025-10-31",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.189,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
        "start": "2025-11-07",
        "end": "2025-12-12",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.035714,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2025-12-19",
        "end": "2026-01-23",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.290323,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2026-01-30",
        "end": "2026-05-01",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": -0.171429,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
        "start": "2026-05-08",
        "end": "2026-06-05",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.0,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2026-06-12",
        "end": "2026-07-17",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.1,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
        "start": "2026-07-24",
        "end": "2026-08-07",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.105263,
        "active": true
      }
    ],
    "chart_path": [
      {
        "date": "2023-08-18",
        "close": 0.128,
        "volume": 74122,
        "typical_volume": 132472.05,
        "trend": 0.171833,
        "fair_value": 0.350932,
        "relative_strength": -36.684103,
        "stage": 4,
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2023-08-25",
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      },
      {
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      {
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      },
      {
        "date": "2023-09-15",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2023-09-22",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2023-09-29",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-01",
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        "date": "2026-05-08",
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      },
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        "date": "2026-05-15",
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      },
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        "date": "2026-05-22",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
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        "typical_volume": 294245.0,
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        "date": "2026-06-12",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
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        "typical_volume": 188602.45,
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        "fair_value": 0.056192,
        "relative_strength": -20.886873,
        "stage": 4,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 0.033,
        "volume": 1940229,
        "typical_volume": 273116.15,
        "trend": 0.0315,
        "fair_value": 0.055416,
        "relative_strength": -8.608778,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -9.482478,
        "energy": 7.730225,
        "activity_lines": [
          0.0304,
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          0.030143,
          0.030817
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 0.038,
        "volume": 479906,
        "typical_volume": 279960.35,
        "trend": 0.031767,
        "fair_value": 0.054717,
        "relative_strength": 5.274673,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Structural repair",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 44.444727,
        "energy": 42.001701,
        "activity_lines": [
          0.033067,
          0.031527,
          0.030848,
          0.031237
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 0.041,
        "volume": 332703,
        "typical_volume": 284774.55,
        "trend": 0.0322,
        "fair_value": 0.054038,
        "relative_strength": 14.647344,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Emerging rotation",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 52.71291,
        "energy": 74.390862,
        "activity_lines": [
          0.0362,
          0.033418,
          0.03181,
          0.031832
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 0.034,
        "volume": 309796,
        "typical_volume": 287971.45,
        "trend": 0.032367,
        "fair_value": 0.053429,
        "relative_strength": -4.890147,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Emerging rotation",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 34.029154,
        "energy": 50.014551,
        "activity_lines": [
          0.0362,
          0.0338,
          0.032067,
          0.031948
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}