{ "ticker": { "uuid": "386afc46-8433-4891-8efa-b5db88240408", "symbol": "603007", "name": "Danyang SYNGEN Intelligent Technology Co., Ltd.", "exchange": "SHH", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "000001.SS", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4a", "phase_label": "Stage 4A \u00b7 Breakdown", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -62.666, "architecture_energy": 71.786, "architecture_maturity": 21.764, "architecture_confidence": 87.333, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 20.54, "rotation_up": 10.3, "upward_expansion": 16.52, "deceleration": 37.38, "rotation_down": 70.79, "downward_expansion": 89.86 }, "activity_lines": [ 4.659333, 5.008364, 5.558048, 5.833376 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.666667 }, "latest_close": 4.86, "trend_reference": 6.052667, "distance_from_trend": -0.197048, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 5.939858, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.181799, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -15.432866, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.14587, "excess_performance": -0.102666, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.197048, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.017052, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.181799, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.315081, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.154329, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.215507, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.14587, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.706636, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 145928639, "relative_activity": 0.87824, "balance": 0.706636, "dry_up": 0.772348, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.180595, "annualized_volatility": 0.714985, "from_high_reference": -0.475162, "from_low_reference": 0.171084 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 6.052667, "fair_value_reference": 5.939858, "structural_low": 4.15, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 19, "median_return": 0.055422, "positive_rate": 0.578947, "directional_follow_through": 0.421053, "median_excess_return": 0.036019, "regime_survival": 0.736842, "best_return": 0.244292, "worst_return": -0.148214, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": 0.165563, "positive_rate": 0.857143, "directional_follow_through": 0.142857, "median_excess_return": 0.122755, "regime_survival": 0.285714, "best_return": 0.899621, "worst_return": -0.105413, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": 0.431325, "positive_rate": 0.8, "directional_follow_through": 0.2, "median_excess_return": 0.402483, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 1.310692, "worst_return": -0.045584, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full 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"fair_value": 5.92766, "relative_strength": -10.625807, "stage": 3, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Supply rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -35.020837, "energy": 35.267053, "activity_lines": [ 5.645333, 5.877455, 6.17081, 6.228301 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 4.78, "volume": 134269947, "typical_volume": 167500345.6, "trend": 6.149333, "fair_value": 5.93056, "relative_strength": -13.675302, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Structural failure", "gate": "down", "direction": -68.913112, "energy": 51.811911, "activity_lines": [ 5.356667, 5.620182, 6.017952, 6.139204 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 4.27, "volume": 124435870, "typical_volume": 166558389.0, "trend": 6.119, "fair_value": 5.931078, "relative_strength": -23.565779, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -75.283446, "energy": 69.869806, "activity_lines": [ 4.936, 5.302909, 5.826952, 6.017957 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 4.49, "volume": 108699652, "typical_volume": 165425681.65, "trend": 6.092, "fair_value": 5.934393, "relative_strength": -19.836818, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -67.932175, "energy": 73.765898, "activity_lines": [ 4.692667, 5.100182, 5.668286, 5.91286 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 4.86, "volume": 145928639, "typical_volume": 166160252.1, "trend": 6.052667, "fair_value": 5.939858, "relative_strength": -15.432866, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -62.665561, "energy": 71.786082, "activity_lines": [ 4.659333, 5.008364, 5.558048, 5.833376 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }