{ "ticker": { "uuid": "388e7dd4-e8ef-4c2a-8ed2-ed1e79681206", "symbol": "300353", "name": "Kyland Technology Co., Ltd.", "exchange": "SHZ", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "399001.SZ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4a", "phase_label": "Stage 4A \u00b7 Breakdown", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -56.199, "architecture_energy": 60.558, "architecture_maturity": 10.782, "architecture_confidence": 82.886, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 24.32, "rotation_up": 11.79, "upward_expansion": 15.07, "deceleration": 35.17, "rotation_down": 68.52, "downward_expansion": 86.07 }, "activity_lines": [ 18.371333, 19.446181, 19.903714, 20.26514 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.5 }, "latest_close": 19.209999, "trend_reference": 20.989333, "distance_from_trend": -0.084773, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 15.497372, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.239565, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -14.984695, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.143558, "excess_performance": -0.150958, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.084773, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.011041, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.239565, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.109049, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.149847, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.125044, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.143558, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.05203, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 87288068, "relative_activity": 1.143125, "balance": 1.05203, "dry_up": 1.085223, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 5 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.123453, "annualized_volatility": 0.514469, "from_high_reference": -0.332523, "from_low_reference": 0.156532 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 20.989333, "fair_value_reference": 15.497372, "structural_low": 16.610001, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 20, "median_return": 0.023317, "positive_rate": 0.75, "directional_follow_through": 0.25, "median_excess_return": 0.031123, "regime_survival": 0.75, "best_return": 0.225092, "worst_return": -0.151855, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": 0.01227, "positive_rate": 0.571429, "directional_follow_through": 0.428571, "median_excess_return": 0.032305, "regime_survival": 0.428571, "best_return": 0.4, "worst_return": -0.296225, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": 0.031543, "positive_rate": 0.75, "directional_follow_through": 0.25, "median_excess_return": -0.014879, "regime_survival": 0.25, "best_return": 0.277241, "worst_return": -0.270087, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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19.662545, 19.974524, 20.382409 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 19.209999, "volume": 87288068, "typical_volume": 76359133.0, "trend": 20.989333, "fair_value": 15.497372, "relative_strength": -14.984695, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -56.198553, "energy": 60.557587, "activity_lines": [ 18.371333, 19.446181, 19.903714, 20.26514 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }