{ "ticker": { "uuid": "38b4db0e-8264-4009-86b0-9cf3c0b4822f", "symbol": "DANHOS13", "name": "Fibra Danhos", "exchange": "MEX", "country": "MX", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^MXX", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2a", "phase_label": "Stage 2A \u00b7 Early advance", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 76.615, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 57.37, "architecture_energy": 39.184, "architecture_maturity": 16.427, "architecture_confidence": 86.765, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 17.7, "rotation_up": 56.89, "upward_expansion": 77.95, "deceleration": 55.97, "rotation_down": 16.56, "downward_expansion": 4.62 }, "activity_lines": [ 28.804666, 28.574364, 28.193859, 27.840967 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Stable", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.666667 }, "latest_close": 28.91, "trend_reference": 27.394095, "distance_from_trend": 0.055337, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 21.452287, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.347642, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 4.261325, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.121989, "excess_performance": 0.176656, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.055337, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.009686, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.347642, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.002487, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.042613, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.081523, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.121989, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.936732, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 972943, "relative_activity": 0.768101, "balance": 1.936732, "dry_up": 0.75071, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.043663, "annualized_volatility": 0.190694, "from_high_reference": -0.104249, "from_low_reference": 0.229163 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 27.394095, "fair_value_reference": 21.452287, "structural_low": 24.007062, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 29, "median_return": 0.009055, "positive_rate": 0.551724, "directional_follow_through": 0.551724, "median_excess_return": 0.017478, "regime_survival": 0.689655, "best_return": 0.167854, "worst_return": -0.105478, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 12, "median_return": 0.003908, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": 0.024825, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.245799, "worst_return": -0.089397, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": 0.042246, "positive_rate": 1.0, "directional_follow_through": 1.0, "median_excess_return": 0.00453, "regime_survival": 0.428571, "best_return": 0.294502, "worst_return": 0.005074, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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27.168673, "fair_value": 21.153186, "relative_strength": 2.019868, "stage": 3, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 53.558441, "energy": 56.175717, "activity_lines": [ 28.286, 27.98484, 27.736441, 27.446707 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 28.26, "volume": 906544, "typical_volume": 3989128.9, "trend": 27.208273, "fair_value": 21.222789, "relative_strength": 2.703153, "stage": 3, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 53.177981, "energy": 48.630047, "activity_lines": [ 28.314667, 28.066546, 27.8215, 27.517116 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 28.59, "volume": 882371, "typical_volume": 3694525.8, "trend": 27.253716, "fair_value": 21.295362, "relative_strength": 4.164182, "stage": 3, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 59.383671, "energy": 43.728562, "activity_lines": [ 28.382667, 28.197273, 27.929937, 27.606259 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 29.309999, "volume": 1041799, "typical_volume": 3431072.45, "trend": 27.328316, "fair_value": 21.374258, "relative_strength": 5.779582, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 66.44862, "energy": 40.351304, "activity_lines": [ 28.694666, 28.442727, 28.09189, 27.738923 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 28.91, "volume": 972943, "typical_volume": 1266687.0, "trend": 27.394095, "fair_value": 21.452287, "relative_strength": 4.261325, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 57.369558, "energy": 39.18358, "activity_lines": [ 28.804666, 28.574364, 28.193859, 27.840967 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }