{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "38bcebe7-d9a4-4034-a7d6-8229711a7dce",
    "symbol": "FJUL",
    "name": "FT VEST U.S. EQUITY BUFFER ETF - JULY",
    "exchange": "CBOE",
    "country": "US",
    "assetType": "etf"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "SPY",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2a",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2A \u00b7 Early advance",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 71.813,
    "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 94.775,
    "architecture_energy": 80.083,
    "architecture_maturity": 38.234,
    "architecture_confidence": 71.076,
    "architecture_tenure": "Established",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 4.03,
        "rotation_up": 73.46,
        "upward_expansion": 89.28,
        "deceleration": 51.35,
        "rotation_down": 21.56,
        "downward_expansion": 13.62
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        60.368433,
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        58.600256
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      "activity_state": "Wide",
      "activity_direction": "Expanding",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": 0.833333
    },
    "latest_close": 61.32,
    "trend_reference": 57.69174,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.06289,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 49.332192,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.243002,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": -3.220099,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": 0.087427,
    "excess_performance": -0.038198,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.06289,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.024923,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.243002,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.012758,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.032201,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.011352,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.087427,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 2.279909,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 304773,
      "relative_activity": 1.344788,
      "balance": 2.279909,
      "dry_up": 1.382208,
      "accumulation_observations": 5,
      "distribution_observations": 2
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.008957,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.074096,
      "from_high_reference": -0.004222,
      "from_low_reference": 0.15656
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 57.69174,
      "fair_value_reference": 49.332192,
      "structural_low": 53.5301,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
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        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 39,
        "median_return": 0.010595,
        "positive_rate": 0.717949,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.717949,
        "median_excess_return": -0.003754,
        "regime_survival": 0.871795,
        "best_return": 0.05753,
        "worst_return": -0.041918,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 13,
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        "worst_return": -0.008992,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
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        "directional_follow_through": 1.0,
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        "sufficient": true
      },
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        "horizon": "Full cycle",
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        "worst_return": 0.117966,
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      {
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        "regime": "downward_expansion",
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        "regime": "balance",
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        "date": "2026-04-24",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-08",
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        "date": "2026-05-15",
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      },
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        "date": "2026-05-22",
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      },
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
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        "fair_value": 48.272767,
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      },
      {
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        "fair_value": 48.538023,
        "relative_strength": -1.577869,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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        "typical_volume": 188682.15,
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        "fair_value": 48.673119,
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        "stage": 2,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
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        "fair_value": 48.803824,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
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        "typical_volume": 197423.05,
        "trend": 57.271223,
        "fair_value": 48.93299,
        "relative_strength": -1.972842,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 80.06334,
        "energy": 91.917416,
        "activity_lines": [
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          58.719198,
          58.027237
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 59.6155,
        "volume": 431864,
        "typical_volume": 214628.7,
        "trend": 57.386407,
        "fair_value": 49.058538,
        "relative_strength": -1.76389,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 66.597814,
        "energy": 86.519107,
        "activity_lines": [
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          58.17848
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 60.13,
        "volume": 274002,
        "typical_volume": 223186.05,
        "trend": 57.526073,
        "fair_value": 49.191359,
        "relative_strength": -1.88308,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 79.129488,
        "energy": 86.871493,
        "activity_lines": [
          59.864127,
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          59.098638,
          58.355486
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 61.32,
        "volume": 304773,
        "typical_volume": 226632.7,
        "trend": 57.69174,
        "fair_value": 49.332192,
        "relative_strength": -3.220099,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 94.774964,
        "energy": 80.083263,
        "activity_lines": [
          60.368433,
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}