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Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^KS11", "stage": 3, "stage_name": "Distribution", "phase": "3a", "phase_label": "Stage 3A \u00b7 Churning", "transition": "stage_3_churning", "transition_label": "Stage 3 range intact", "confidence": 71.94, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Re-accelerating", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 93.325, "architecture_energy": 97.403, "architecture_maturity": 6.355, "architecture_confidence": 57.708, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 17.19, "rotation_up": 87.5, "upward_expansion": 97.66, "deceleration": 41.83, "rotation_down": 8.03, "downward_expansion": 22.0 }, "activity_lines": [ 114588.868229, 114467.005256, 114384.997545, 114317.296405 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.833333 }, "latest_close": 114710.0, "trend_reference": 114203.722656, "distance_from_trend": 0.004433, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 110677.222556, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.036437, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -20.862745, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.007804, "excess_performance": -0.222025, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.004433, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.002793, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.036437, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.004114, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.208627, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.263483, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.007804, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 26.350653, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 269303, "relative_activity": 1.56295, "balance": 26.350653, "dry_up": 1.196595, "accumulation_observations": 6, "distribution_observations": 0 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.000741, "annualized_volatility": 0.004851, "from_high_reference": -0.008639, "from_low_reference": 0.017557 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 114203.722656, "fair_value_reference": 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"close": 114540.0, "volume": 222170, "typical_volume": 181671.8, "trend": 114139.526823, "fair_value": 110554.825721, "relative_strength": -28.199061, "stage": 3, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 89.85518, "energy": 92.094714, "activity_lines": [ 114415.932292, 114351.798296, 114312.805767, 114251.896338 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 114615.0, "volume": 207894, "typical_volume": 176903.3, "trend": 114171.772136, "fair_value": 110616.033354, "relative_strength": -25.996552, "stage": 3, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 91.266558, "energy": 96.26557, "activity_lines": [ 114499.288542, 114402.85554, 114345.493229, 114282.572026 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 114710.0, "volume": 269303, "typical_volume": 172304.3, "trend": 114203.722656, "fair_value": 110677.222556, "relative_strength": -20.862745, "stage": 3, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 93.324566, "energy": 97.402552, "activity_lines": [ 114588.868229, 114467.005256, 114384.997545, 114317.296405 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }