{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "38c8264d-7444-418c-aa4d-29b43cfafe42",
    "symbol": "L1DO34",
    "name": "Leidos Holdings, Inc.",
    "exchange": "SAO",
    "country": "BR",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^BVSP",
    "stage": 4,
    "stage_name": "Declining",
    "phase": "4b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining",
    "transition": "stage_4_declining",
    "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction",
    "architecture_gate": "down",
    "architecture_direction": -21.622,
    "architecture_energy": 27.68,
    "architecture_maturity": 100.0,
    "architecture_confidence": 91.397,
    "architecture_tenure": "Established",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 33.88,
        "rotation_up": 30.76,
        "upward_expansion": 29.33,
        "deceleration": 44.17,
        "rotation_down": 25.19,
        "downward_expansion": 68.0
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        60.920001,
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        60.624439,
        66.217648
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      "activity_state": "Moderate",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": -0.333333
    },
    "latest_close": 69.650002,
    "trend_reference": 74.921078,
    "distance_from_trend": -0.070355,
    "trend_direction": "Weakening",
    "fair_value": 77.155027,
    "distance_from_fair_value": -0.097272,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": -22.968342,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": -0.291659,
    "excess_performance": -0.234611,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.070355,
        "read": "Below"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.163127,
        "read": "Falling"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.097272,
        "read": "Below anchor"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.040148,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.229683,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.168999,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.291659,
        "read": "Negative"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 1.232916,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 628,
      "relative_activity": 4.18946,
      "balance": 1.232916,
      "dry_up": 1.052368,
      "accumulation_observations": 2,
      "distribution_observations": 1
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.048364,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.441667,
      "from_high_reference": -0.34677,
      "from_low_reference": 0.330468
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 74.921078,
      "fair_value_reference": 77.155027,
      "structural_low": 52.349998,
      "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired."
    },
    "outcomes": [
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        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 18,
        "median_return": 0.032742,
        "positive_rate": 0.611111,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.333333,
        "median_excess_return": 0.01695,
        "regime_survival": 0.833333,
        "best_return": 0.225842,
        "worst_return": -0.172493,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 6,
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        "positive_rate": 0.666667,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.333333,
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        "regime_survival": 0.5,
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        "worst_return": -0.30092,
        "sufficient": true
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      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": 0.041946,
        "positive_rate": 1.0,
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        "worst_return": 0.027322,
        "sufficient": false
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        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 2,
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        "worst_return": -0.019388,
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        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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      {
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        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
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        "end": "2025-02-28",
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        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
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        "regime": "balance",
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        "end": "2025-05-23",
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        "return": 0.0,
        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
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        "volume": 12,
        "typical_volume": 40.95,
        "trend": 94.726822,
        "fair_value": 75.530428,
        "relative_strength": -34.566091,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -86.042765,
        "energy": 95.067141,
        "activity_lines": [
          74.913457,
          78.693035,
          85.799718,
          89.974302
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-08",
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        "typical_volume": 61.3,
        "trend": 93.52992,
        "fair_value": 75.707426,
        "relative_strength": -39.868283,
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        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -96.478052,
        "energy": 96.778869,
        "activity_lines": [
          71.309305,
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          83.335525,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-15",
        "close": 59.886646,
        "volume": 1035,
        "typical_volume": 113.05,
        "trend": 92.104279,
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        "relative_strength": -42.241022,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -96.871575,
        "energy": 78.802579,
        "activity_lines": [
          66.884563,
          72.036427,
          80.522667,
          85.905501
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-22",
        "close": 61.592567,
        "volume": 130,
        "typical_volume": 119.55,
        "trend": 90.735502,
        "fair_value": 75.991728,
        "relative_strength": -39.726601,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -84.31325,
        "energy": 74.409246,
        "activity_lines": [
          64.175715,
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          78.065316,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
        "close": 66.341202,
        "volume": 520,
        "typical_volume": 144.15,
        "trend": 89.525013,
        "fair_value": 76.165132,
        "relative_strength": -33.675295,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -68.621841,
        "energy": 68.929724,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
        "close": 63.262321,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 142.45,
        "trend": 88.211895,
        "fair_value": 76.317427,
        "relative_strength": -34.498743,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -69.752118,
        "energy": 69.24002,
        "activity_lines": [
          63.435406,
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          74.323543,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
        "close": 62.330002,
        "volume": 4,
        "typical_volume": 138.65,
        "trend": 86.804577,
        "fair_value": 76.458731,
        "relative_strength": -35.783188,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -73.943931,
        "energy": 70.350159,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-19",
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        "volume": 0,
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        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
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        "energy": 76.574558,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
        "close": 54.700001,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 135.1,
        "trend": 83.807584,
        "fair_value": 76.639901,
        "relative_strength": -43.330876,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -89.619049,
        "energy": 78.294334,
        "activity_lines": [
          58.309057,
          60.855258,
          68.004459,
          74.992495
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
        "close": 52.349998,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 135.1,
        "trend": 82.220421,
        "fair_value": 76.705436,
        "relative_strength": -45.565147,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -88.165501,
        "energy": 86.746214,
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          55.628821,
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          72.962974
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
        "close": 52.349998,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 135.1,
        "trend": 80.566352,
        "fair_value": 76.770719,
        "relative_strength": -46.111958,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -81.410499,
        "energy": 92.695819,
        "activity_lines": [
          53.881332,
          57.181838,
          63.845153,
          71.03585
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 52.349998,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 128.75,
        "trend": 78.96386,
        "fair_value": 76.836002,
        "relative_strength": -44.233144,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -73.939857,
        "energy": 90.152695,
        "activity_lines": [
          52.861332,
          55.910266,
          62.093917,
          69.21544
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 57.66,
        "volume": 2,
        "typical_volume": 124.55,
        "trend": 77.538368,
        "fair_value": 76.927795,
        "relative_strength": -38.096842,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -68.353201,
        "energy": 68.301259,
        "activity_lines": [
          54.276666,
          55.839671,
          61.027363,
          67.840997
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 58.880001,
        "volume": 1,
        "typical_volume": 121.8,
        "trend": 76.153543,
        "fair_value": 77.008147,
        "relative_strength": -37.57375,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -65.701625,
        "energy": 64.755321,
        "activity_lines": [
          55.942666,
          56.031379,
          60.240948,
          66.637231
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 69.650002,
        "volume": 628,
        "typical_volume": 149.9,
        "trend": 74.921078,
        "fair_value": 77.155027,
        "relative_strength": -22.968342,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -21.621698,
        "energy": 27.680081,
        "activity_lines": [
          60.920001,
          58.230588,
          60.624439,
          66.217648
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}