{ "ticker": { "uuid": "38d0609b-17b2-4e27-af94-e4fffd3ece0a", "symbol": "AVO", "name": "Mission Produce, Inc.", "exchange": "MEX", "country": "MX", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^MXX", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4c", "phase_label": "Stage 4C \u00b7 Repair watch", "transition": "stage_4_to_1_watch", "transition_label": "Stage 4 \u2192 1 repair watch", "confidence": 92.009, "architecture_regime": "rotation_up", "architecture_regime_label": "Rotation Up", "architecture_modifier": "Emerging rotation", "architecture_gate": "mixed", "architecture_direction": 38.198, "architecture_energy": 57.385, "architecture_maturity": 41.159, "architecture_confidence": 74.481, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The Activity Line structure is rotating upward.", "body": "Fast Activity is improving relative to Slow Activity and price acceptance is strengthening. This is earlier than full positive Trend confirmation and remains a developing repair." }, "scores": { "balance": 34.94, "rotation_up": 75.74, "upward_expansion": 50.82, "deceleration": 41.67, "rotation_down": 14.0, "downward_expansion": 23.48 }, "activity_lines": [ 226.71, 211.15727, 209.731664, 215.078815 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.666667 }, "latest_close": 230.0, "trend_reference": 221.263332, "distance_from_trend": 0.039485, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 231.993784, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.008594, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -3.907819, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.025424, "excess_performance": 0.029243, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.039485, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.06954, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.008594, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.005707, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.039078, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.076866, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.025424, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.027447, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 0, "relative_activity": 0.0, "balance": 0.027447, "dry_up": 0.126796, "accumulation_observations": 0, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.035067, "annualized_volatility": 0.433879, "from_high_reference": -0.08, "from_low_reference": 0.274238 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 221.263332, "fair_value_reference": 231.993784, "structural_low": 180.5, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 1, "median_return": 0.176471, "positive_rate": 1.0, "directional_follow_through": 1.0, "median_excess_return": 0.191181, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.176471, "worst_return": 0.176471, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 1, "median_return": 0.176471, "positive_rate": 1.0, "directional_follow_through": 1.0, "median_excess_return": 0.100557, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.176471, "worst_return": 0.176471, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 1, "median_return": 0.110588, "positive_rate": 1.0, "directional_follow_through": 1.0, "median_excess_return": -0.102917, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.110588, "worst_return": 0.110588, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false } ], "ledger": [ { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2024-03-15", "end": "2024-06-07", "tenure": "Established", "return": 0.0, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2025-05-02", "end": "2025-06-06", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.049383, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_up", "label": "Rotation Up", "color": "teal", "start": "2025-06-13", "end": "2025-07-04", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.176471, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2025-07-11", "end": "2025-08-22", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.0, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2025-08-29", "end": "2025-09-19", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.0, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2026-01-16", "end": "2026-02-27", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.077626, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2026-03-06", "end": "2026-03-27", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.0, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2026-04-03", "end": "2026-07-10", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.234534, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_up", "label": "Rotation Up", "color": "teal", "start": "2026-07-17", "end": "2026-08-07", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.0, "active": true } ], "chart_path": [ { "date": "2023-08-18", "close": 293.0, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": null, "trend": null, "fair_value": null, "relative_strength": null, "stage": null, "regime": null, 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"trend": 223.263332, "fair_value": 233.205323, "relative_strength": -4.862232, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Structural repair", "gate": "down", "direction": -22.173409, "energy": 41.817582, "activity_lines": [ 197.099996, 192.842723, 205.644521, 213.645912 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 230.0, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 59.15, "trend": 222.596665, "fair_value": 232.801477, "relative_strength": -4.046584, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Emerging rotation", "gate": "down", "direction": -1.525618, "energy": 34.441557, "activity_lines": [ 210.259998, 199.02636, 206.978331, 214.080536 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 230.0, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 59.15, "trend": 221.929999, "fair_value": 232.397631, "relative_strength": -4.352552, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Emerging rotation", "gate": "down", "direction": 13.274708, "energy": 45.520363, "activity_lines": [ 220.129999, 205.319088, 208.340712, 214.55817 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 230.0, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 59.15, "trend": 221.263332, "fair_value": 231.993784, "relative_strength": -3.907819, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Emerging rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 38.198388, "energy": 57.385214, "activity_lines": [ 226.71, 211.15727, 209.731664, 215.078815 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }