{ "ticker": { "uuid": "38e6b3fe-9b2a-434c-8e6b-ae549d6838f5", "symbol": "JPCE", "name": "JPMorgan ETFs (Ireland) ICAV - Carbon Transition Global Equity (CTB) UCITS ETF", "exchange": "GER", "country": "DE", "assetType": "etf" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^GDAXI", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 77.546, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 85.005, "architecture_energy": 60.655, "architecture_maturity": 50.127, "architecture_confidence": 72.99, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 14.5, "rotation_up": 54.68, "upward_expansion": 80.11, "deceleration": 65.98, "rotation_down": 26.29, "downward_expansion": 9.11 }, "activity_lines": [ 45.396667, 45.176636, 44.732286, 44.033172 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.5 }, "latest_close": 46.555, "trend_reference": 43.331333, "distance_from_trend": 0.074396, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 36.911474, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.261261, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 1.426388, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.099681, "excess_performance": 0.035041, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.074396, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.023893, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.261261, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.021262, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.014264, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.055265, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.099681, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.556144, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 4226, "relative_activity": 2.937885, "balance": 1.556144, "dry_up": 1.595467, "accumulation_observations": 5, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.017531, "annualized_volatility": 0.136834, "from_high_reference": 0.0, "from_low_reference": 0.194484 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 43.331333, "fair_value_reference": 36.911474, "structural_low": 38.974998, "invalidation": "A 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"fair_value": 36.407949, "relative_strength": 1.438755, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 71.071823, "energy": 55.812365, "activity_lines": [ 44.804334, 44.698001, 43.7945, 43.319194 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-10", "close": 45.419998, "volume": 2497, "typical_volume": 1069.85, "trend": 42.979, "fair_value": 36.510256, "relative_strength": 4.588869, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 73.173367, "energy": 70.306825, "activity_lines": [ 45.032333, 44.868909, 44.023095, 43.483989 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 44.970001, "volume": 2673, "typical_volume": 1182.9, "trend": 43.068333, "fair_value": 36.608173, "relative_strength": 4.299486, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 61.934395, "energy": 67.292265, "activity_lines": [ 45.053, 44.916182, 44.195453, 43.612441 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 44.764999, "volume": 1565, "typical_volume": 1220.4, "trend": 43.141, "fair_value": 36.702981, "relative_strength": 2.537015, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 61.380755, "energy": 60.732408, "activity_lines": [ 44.98, 44.910818, 44.337333, 43.721903 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 44.630001, "volume": 716, "typical_volume": 1253.15, "trend": 43.219333, "fair_value": 36.799904, "relative_strength": -0.001315, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 57.020645, "energy": 45.79886, "activity_lines": [ 44.877, 44.868364, 44.452334, 43.817968 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 46.555, "volume": 4226, "typical_volume": 1438.45, "trend": 43.331333, "fair_value": 36.911474, "relative_strength": 1.426388, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 85.004668, "energy": 60.654997, "activity_lines": [ 45.396667, 45.176636, 44.732286, 44.033172 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }