{ "ticker": { "uuid": "38e8e309-b6b8-4d72-9237-efcdde1198aa", "symbol": "AIIO", "name": "Robo.ai Inc.", "exchange": "NASDAQ", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "QQQ", "stage": 1, "stage_name": "Basing", "phase": "1b", "phase_label": "Stage 1B \u00b7 Basing", "transition": "stage_1_building", "transition_label": "Base still building", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "balance", "architecture_regime_label": "Balance", "architecture_modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "architecture_gate": "mixed", "architecture_direction": 3.641, "architecture_energy": 5.685, "architecture_maturity": 22.013, "architecture_confidence": 37.163, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.", "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base." }, "scores": { "balance": 62.51, "rotation_up": 25.41, "upward_expansion": 27.24, "deceleration": 63.82, "rotation_down": 34.89, "downward_expansion": 24.91 }, "activity_lines": [ 3.013667, 3.259636, 2.903018, 2.689716 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.166667 }, "latest_close": 2.98, "trend_reference": 2.73356, "distance_from_trend": 0.090153, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 49.896826, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.940277, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -74.717901, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.146132, "excess_performance": -0.333585, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.090153, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.446565, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.940277, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.046854, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.747179, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.212891, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.146132, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 2.967085, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 2842169, "relative_activity": 0.06236, "balance": 2.967085, "dry_up": 0.109984, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.661975, "annualized_volatility": 2.770087, "from_high_reference": -0.947069, "from_low_reference": 4.517497 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 2.73356, "fair_value_reference": 49.896826, "structural_low": 0.5401, "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": -0.195809, "positive_rate": 0.25, "directional_follow_through": 0.25, "median_excess_return": -0.224258, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.226103, "worst_return": -0.37963, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 1, "median_return": -0.565, "positive_rate": 0.0, "directional_follow_through": 0.0, "median_excess_return": -0.606776, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": -0.565, "worst_return": -0.565, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 1, "median_return": 0.157534, "positive_rate": 1.0, "directional_follow_through": 1.0, "median_excess_return": 0.147635, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.157534, "worst_return": 0.157534, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": 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"regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -5.084597, "energy": 10.901574, "activity_lines": [ 2.794667, 2.495462, 2.126688, 2.619816 ] }, { "date": "2026-06-26", "close": 4.37, "volume": 27378531, "typical_volume": 53660117.05, "trend": 3.678993, "fair_value": 57.514422, "relative_strength": -71.71471, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": 12.338852, "energy": 19.64758, "activity_lines": [ 3.345333, 2.918655, 2.338327, 2.643687 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-03", "close": 4.17, "volume": 14903674, "typical_volume": 49697764.3, "trend": 3.412327, "fair_value": 56.182178, "relative_strength": -71.959918, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 25.492055, "energy": 31.863795, "activity_lines": [ 3.71, 3.238478, 2.526728, 2.675365 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-10", "close": 3.335, "volume": 5630794, "typical_volume": 49318110.7, "trend": 3.165493, "fair_value": 54.876633, "relative_strength": -76.695661, "stage": 1, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Structural repair", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 18.373101, "energy": 26.801042, "activity_lines": [ 3.676333, 3.342545, 2.628157, 2.670376 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 3.95, "volume": 7374710, "typical_volume": 47279742.55, "trend": 3.089827, "fair_value": 53.659646, "relative_strength": -69.542098, "stage": 1, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Emerging rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 29.37354, "energy": 32.566365, "activity_lines": [ 3.821333, 3.509, 2.782744, 2.72099 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 2.61, "volume": 5869026, "typical_volume": 46337131.95, "trend": 2.953493, "fair_value": 52.402018, "relative_strength": -78.689671, "stage": 1, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Emerging rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 19.895846, "energy": 14.640842, "activity_lines": [ 3.437667, 3.375636, 2.804492, 2.690033 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 2.81, "volume": 3964832, "typical_volume": 45959469.9, "trend": 2.841427, "fair_value": 51.127723, "relative_strength": -75.968169, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 6.53319, "energy": 5.817339, "activity_lines": [ 3.145333, 3.304273, 2.846384, 2.680775 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 2.98, "volume": 2842169, "typical_volume": 45576626.25, "trend": 2.73356, "fair_value": 49.896826, "relative_strength": -74.717901, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 3.64111, "energy": 5.685367, "activity_lines": [ 3.013667, 3.259636, 2.903018, 2.689716 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }