{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "38f0c922-3a55-4e5e-bf49-f8bd6b2f8671",
    "symbol": "CBNK",
    "name": "Capital Bancorp",
    "exchange": "NASDAQ",
    "country": "US",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "QQQ",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2a",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2A \u00b7 Early advance",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 77.932,
    "architecture_energy": 73.268,
    "architecture_maturity": 46.127,
    "architecture_confidence": 80.308,
    "architecture_tenure": "Established",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 1.56,
        "rotation_up": 77.56,
        "upward_expansion": 92.37,
        "deceleration": 44.42,
        "rotation_down": 13.59,
        "downward_expansion": 14.37
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        36.890667,
        36.057455,
        34.443796,
        33.340097
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      "activity_state": "Wide",
      "activity_direction": "Expanding",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": 1.0
    },
    "latest_close": 37.78,
    "trend_reference": 32.109698,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.176592,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 26.640763,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.418128,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": 6.242893,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": 0.160183,
    "excess_performance": -0.02727,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.176592,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.080268,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.418128,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.174067,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.062429,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.213622,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.160183,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 3.748828,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 319114,
      "relative_activity": 0.9405,
      "balance": 3.748828,
      "dry_up": 0.879673,
      "accumulation_observations": 3,
      "distribution_observations": 1
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.051684,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.215547,
      "from_high_reference": -0.027041,
      "from_low_reference": 0.441874
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 32.109698,
      "fair_value_reference": 26.640763,
      "structural_low": 27.926232,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
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        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 27,
        "median_return": 0.007095,
        "positive_rate": 0.518519,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.518519,
        "median_excess_return": 0.016437,
        "regime_survival": 0.703704,
        "best_return": 0.204036,
        "worst_return": -0.134256,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 11,
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        "directional_follow_through": 0.636364,
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        "regime_survival": 0.363636,
        "best_return": 0.216451,
        "worst_return": -0.112048,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
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        "positive_rate": 0.666667,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.666667,
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        "regime_survival": 0.333333,
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        "worst_return": -0.182462,
        "sufficient": true
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        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 4,
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        "worst_return": -0.189584,
        "sufficient": false
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        "regime": "deceleration",
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      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
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        "date": "2026-06-05",
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      },
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        "date": "2026-06-12",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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        "relative_strength": 0.034577,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
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        "fair_value": 26.190536,
        "relative_strength": -2.477581,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
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        "energy": 75.904401,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 35.84,
        "volume": 290344,
        "typical_volume": 332857.85,
        "trend": 31.227006,
        "fair_value": 26.299875,
        "relative_strength": 4.402569,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 73.573832,
        "energy": 76.752236,
        "activity_lines": [
          35.315333,
          34.435818,
          33.079995,
          32.261512
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 36.13,
        "volume": 275003,
        "typical_volume": 336178.1,
        "trend": 31.489129,
        "fair_value": 26.407643,
        "relative_strength": 7.244417,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 71.949825,
        "energy": 69.207996,
        "activity_lines": [
          35.698,
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          33.480243,
          32.577835
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 37.33,
        "volume": 309441,
        "typical_volume": 341879.8,
        "trend": 31.805809,
        "fair_value": 26.524206,
        "relative_strength": 10.238905,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 78.766263,
        "energy": 68.055999,
        "activity_lines": [
          36.29,
          35.497818,
          33.961285,
          32.954665
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 37.78,
        "volume": 319114,
        "typical_volume": 339302.65,
        "trend": 32.109698,
        "fair_value": 26.640763,
        "relative_strength": 6.242893,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 77.932403,
        "energy": 73.267509,
        "activity_lines": [
          36.890667,
          36.057455,
          34.443796,
          33.340097
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}