{ "ticker": { "uuid": "38f22660-9569-4468-8593-373f77eecf46", "symbol": "000581", "name": "Weifu High-Technology Group Co., Ltd.", "exchange": "SHZ", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "399001.SZ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -45.985, "architecture_energy": 41.58, "architecture_maturity": 90.832, "architecture_confidence": 87.228, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 26.69, "rotation_up": 27.47, "upward_expansion": 19.42, "deceleration": 46.54, "rotation_down": 34.72, "downward_expansion": 64.75 }, "activity_lines": [ 17.294239, 17.125189, 17.830576, 18.725347 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.166667 }, "latest_close": 17.360001, "trend_reference": 19.773852, "distance_from_trend": -0.122073, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 17.800658, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.024755, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -18.047586, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.189164, "excess_performance": -0.196564, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.122073, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.058119, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.024755, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.166407, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.180476, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.037016, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.189164, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.561046, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 35722048, "relative_activity": 0.760207, "balance": 0.561046, "dry_up": 0.896727, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.056355, "annualized_volatility": 0.420878, "from_high_reference": -0.332308, "from_low_reference": 0.081048 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 19.773852, "fair_value_reference": 17.800658, "structural_low": 16.058497, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 20, "median_return": 0.034561, "positive_rate": 0.7, "directional_follow_through": 0.3, "median_excess_return": 0.013332, "regime_survival": 0.65, "best_return": 0.145019, "worst_return": -0.147818, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 9, "median_return": 0.070082, "positive_rate": 0.777778, "directional_follow_through": 0.222222, "median_excess_return": 0.049958, "regime_survival": 0.333333, "best_return": 0.158298, "worst_return": -0.14184, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": 0.074213, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": 0.138502, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.485685, "worst_return": -0.011895, "sufficient": true }, { 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"relative_strength": -18.250318, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -63.33222, "energy": 62.12608, "activity_lines": [ 16.835085, 17.054299, 18.075438, 19.021027 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 17.91, "volume": 42211646, "typical_volume": 49206049.4, "trend": 19.882518, "fair_value": 17.788881, "relative_strength": -11.515872, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -49.995403, "energy": 49.166052, "activity_lines": [ 17.217085, 17.123471, 17.965078, 18.88809 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 17.360001, "volume": 35722048, "typical_volume": 46989900.7, "trend": 19.773852, "fair_value": 17.800658, "relative_strength": -18.047586, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -45.984769, "energy": 41.579518, "activity_lines": [ 17.294239, 17.125189, 17.830576, 18.725347 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }