{ "ticker": { "uuid": "38f35550-be27-44fc-8b0b-fa04f4611677", "symbol": "MOV", "name": "MOVE Logistics Group Limited", "exchange": "ASX", "country": "AU", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^AXJO", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 91.776, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -65.259, "architecture_energy": 86.084, "architecture_maturity": 60.023, "architecture_confidence": 88.728, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 15.19, "rotation_up": 30.0, "upward_expansion": 26.39, "deceleration": 37.03, "rotation_down": 52.44, "downward_expansion": 88.39 }, "activity_lines": [ 0.149, 0.149091, 0.153643, 0.163172 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.5 }, "latest_close": 0.15, "trend_reference": 0.179167, "distance_from_trend": -0.162791, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 0.297308, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.495472, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -22.200498, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.375, "excess_performance": -0.438706, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.162791, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.043594, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.495472, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.080192, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.222005, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.023898, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.375, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 5.0, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 0, "relative_activity": 0.0, "balance": 5.0, "dry_up": 4.777031, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 0 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.020513, "annualized_volatility": 0.54697, "from_high_reference": -0.482759, "from_low_reference": 0.071429 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 0.179167, "fair_value_reference": 0.297308, "structural_low": 0.14, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a 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0.16, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 3661.2, "trend": 0.1855, "fair_value": 0.32609, "relative_strength": -16.937608, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -52.601687, "energy": 57.081217, "activity_lines": [ 0.159333, 0.158091, 0.169952, 0.179538 ] }, { "date": "2026-06-26", "close": 0.145, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 3527.15, "trend": 0.184667, "fair_value": 0.321891, "relative_strength": -23.544368, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -82.987744, "energy": 69.511636, "activity_lines": [ 0.155, 0.155, 0.166357, 0.176925 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-03", "close": 0.145, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 3527.15, "trend": 0.183833, "fair_value": 0.317564, "relative_strength": -23.654393, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -82.065906, "energy": 71.416111, "activity_lines": [ 0.151, 0.152818, 0.163214, 0.174366 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-10", "close": 0.145, "volume": 56, "typical_volume": 3526.85, "trend": 0.183167, "fair_value": 0.313237, "relative_strength": -22.726905, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -75.6352, "energy": 70.012974, "activity_lines": [ 0.148, 0.151545, 0.160524, 0.17186 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 0.145, "volume": 9115, "typical_volume": 681.0, "trend": 0.1825, "fair_value": 0.309135, "relative_strength": -22.077864, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -70.38403, "energy": 68.641669, "activity_lines": [ 0.146, 0.150182, 0.158143, 0.169398 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 0.15, "volume": 77403, "typical_volume": 4551.15, "trend": 0.182167, "fair_value": 0.30516, "relative_strength": -18.767892, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -65.299076, "energy": 64.256605, "activity_lines": [ 0.146667, 0.149818, 0.156452, 0.167301 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 0.15, "volume": 10000, "typical_volume": 5051.15, "trend": 0.181833, "fair_value": 0.30125, "relative_strength": -20.195397, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -66.828425, "energy": 87.06604, "activity_lines": [ 0.148, 0.149455, 0.154952, 0.165226 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 0.15, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 5051.15, "trend": 0.179167, "fair_value": 0.297308, "relative_strength": -22.200498, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -65.258823, "energy": 86.083992, "activity_lines": [ 0.149, 0.149091, 0.153643, 0.163172 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }