{ "ticker": { "uuid": "38f3f13d-7f47-4ada-ac46-6622cf3252cf", "symbol": "B1ME34", "name": "BeOne Medicines AG", "exchange": "SAO", "country": "BR", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^BVSP", "stage": 3, "stage_name": "Distribution", "phase": "3a", "phase_label": "Stage 3A \u00b7 Churning", "transition": "stage_3_churning", "transition_label": "Stage 3 range intact", "confidence": 66.084, "architecture_regime": "rotation_up", "architecture_regime_label": "Rotation Up", "architecture_modifier": "Value reclamation", "architecture_gate": "mixed", "architecture_direction": 58.013, "architecture_energy": 64.794, "architecture_maturity": 15.156, "architecture_confidence": 87.086, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The Activity Line structure is rotating upward.", "body": "Fast Activity is improving relative to Slow Activity and price acceptance is strengthening. This is earlier than full positive Trend confirmation and remains a developing repair." }, "scores": { "balance": 21.93, "rotation_up": 80.18, "upward_expansion": 51.33, "deceleration": 33.99, "rotation_down": 14.0, "downward_expansion": 24.0 }, "activity_lines": [ 65.464, 62.597819, 61.105096, 61.729613 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.666667 }, "latest_close": 69.0, "trend_reference": 63.689001, "distance_from_trend": 0.08339, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 50.766154, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.359173, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -0.164843, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.051286, "excess_performance": 0.005763, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.08339, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.041709, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.359173, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.152761, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.001648, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.232272, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.051286, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 7.0, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 1, "relative_activity": 0.084034, "balance": 7.0, "dry_up": 0.231092, "accumulation_observations": 0, "distribution_observations": 0 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.026979, "annualized_volatility": 0.260321, "from_high_reference": -0.051286, "from_low_reference": 0.255002 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 63.689001, "fair_value_reference": 50.766154, "structural_low": 54.98, "invalidation": "A decisive breakout above range resistance with renewed RS leadership invalidates the distribution reading; a range-low break confirms deterioration." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": -0.006162, "positive_rate": 0.25, "directional_follow_through": 0.25, "median_excess_return": -0.057613, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.096379, "worst_return": -0.188948, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 2, "median_return": -0.079829, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.161969, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.096379, "worst_return": -0.256036, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 1, "median_return": -0.032948, "positive_rate": 0.0, "directional_follow_through": 0.0, "median_excess_return": -0.118171, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": -0.032948, "worst_return": -0.032948, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 1, 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62.112431 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-03", "close": 59.880001, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 160.3, "trend": 64.766668, "fair_value": 49.949359, "relative_strength": -16.076654, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -66.809952, "energy": 67.453645, "activity_lines": [ 57.261334, 57.917455, 59.467905, 61.779162 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-10", "close": 59.880001, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 160.3, "trend": 64.429334, "fair_value": 50.099872, "relative_strength": -17.502072, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -52.698386, "energy": 55.352447, "activity_lines": [ 58.326668, 58.151273, 59.329715, 61.463893 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 62.16, "volume": 1, "typical_volume": 145.35, "trend": 64.168001, "fair_value": 50.249103, "relative_strength": -11.885233, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -22.032008, "energy": 29.945491, "activity_lines": [ 59.904001, 58.798182, 59.469858, 61.317484 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 64.68, "volume": 9, "typical_volume": 145.8, "trend": 63.990668, "fair_value": 50.396218, "relative_strength": -8.098664, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Structural repair", "gate": "down", "direction": 13.427417, "energy": 36.662711, "activity_lines": [ 61.842667, 59.848728, 59.874096, 61.350517 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 64.68, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 11.85, "trend": 63.813334, "fair_value": 50.560834, "relative_strength": -9.590559, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Value reclamation", "gate": "down", "direction": 27.578626, "energy": 50.288317, "activity_lines": [ 63.216, 60.853455, 60.290429, 61.39499 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 69.0, "volume": 1, "typical_volume": 11.9, "trend": 63.689001, "fair_value": 50.766154, "relative_strength": -0.164843, "stage": 3, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Value reclamation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 58.012896, "energy": 64.794204, "activity_lines": [ 65.464, 62.597819, 61.105096, 61.729613 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }