{ "ticker": { "uuid": "390787ca-3872-47b5-8252-c3d1a96ee5c2", "symbol": "IES", "name": "Invinity Energy Systems plc", "exchange": "LSE", "country": "GB", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^FTSE", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 67.842, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 0.254, "architecture_energy": 17.265, "architecture_maturity": 49.089, "architecture_confidence": 81.056, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.", "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down." }, "scores": { "balance": 51.34, "rotation_up": 14.62, "upward_expansion": 41.42, "deceleration": 86.27, "rotation_down": 48.62, "downward_expansion": 40.09 }, "activity_lines": [ 0.228433, 0.253782, 0.262762, 0.246468 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.833333 }, "latest_close": 0.225, "trend_reference": 0.227425, "distance_from_trend": -0.010663, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 0.21996, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.022913, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -3.751945, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.184211, "excess_performance": 0.132975, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.010663, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.154832, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.022913, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.269929, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.037519, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.126335, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.184211, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 2.721927, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 7763059, "relative_activity": 0.819385, "balance": 2.721927, "dry_up": 0.559426, "accumulation_observations": 4, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.284786, "annualized_volatility": 0.921686, "from_high_reference": -0.444444, "from_low_reference": 0.451613 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 0.227425, "fair_value_reference": 0.21996, "structural_low": 0.155, "invalidation": "A 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0.226008, "relative_strength": 5.876312, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 38.236996, "energy": 24.967564, "activity_lines": [ 0.285567, 0.304436, 0.266698, 0.24526 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 0.24, "volume": 5614816, "typical_volume": 8967482.7, "trend": 0.224542, "fair_value": 0.224341, "relative_strength": 4.445552, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 25.003962, "energy": 24.944123, "activity_lines": [ 0.2652, 0.294173, 0.267042, 0.246381 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 0.237, "volume": 2666138, "typical_volume": 9026287.15, "trend": 0.226275, "fair_value": 0.222768, "relative_strength": 2.244855, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 16.985173, "energy": 23.019735, "activity_lines": [ 0.2485, 0.282182, 0.266857, 0.247185 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 0.217, "volume": 5156538, "typical_volume": 9175644.2, "trend": 0.226842, "fair_value": 0.221306, "relative_strength": -7.187471, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 6.896299, "energy": 20.584854, "activity_lines": [ 0.234533, 0.266318, 0.264514, 0.246587 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 0.225, "volume": 7763059, "typical_volume": 9474250.15, "trend": 0.227425, "fair_value": 0.21996, "relative_strength": -3.751945, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 0.253645, "energy": 17.264553, "activity_lines": [ 0.228433, 0.253782, 0.262762, 0.246468 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }