{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "3908616e-e0db-4521-b43c-88a21d25f2a4",
    "symbol": "CM",
    "name": "Canadian Imperial Bank of Commerce",
    "exchange": "TOR",
    "country": "CA",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^GSPTSE",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 63.279,
    "architecture_energy": 61.473,
    "architecture_maturity": 67.139,
    "architecture_confidence": 78.632,
    "architecture_tenure": "Established",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 20.9,
        "rotation_up": 54.99,
        "upward_expansion": 82.27,
        "deceleration": 69.6,
        "rotation_down": 24.63,
        "downward_expansion": 11.27
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        166.416663,
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        159.850126,
        154.169502
      ],
      "activity_state": "Moderate",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": 0.5
    },
    "latest_close": 165.639999,
    "trend_reference": 146.435848,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.131144,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 91.125608,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.817711,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": 11.643186,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": 0.264248,
    "excess_performance": 0.143826,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.131144,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.100361,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.817711,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.008251,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.116432,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.035764,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.264248,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 1.891538,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 7782000,
      "relative_activity": 0.817931,
      "balance": 1.891538,
      "dry_up": 1.154636,
      "accumulation_observations": 3,
      "distribution_observations": 2
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.035778,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.195203,
      "from_high_reference": -0.034957,
      "from_low_reference": 0.699132
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 146.435848,
      "fair_value_reference": 91.125608,
      "structural_low": 127.129997,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
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        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 34,
        "median_return": 0.0163,
        "positive_rate": 0.558824,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.558824,
        "median_excess_return": 0.00364,
        "regime_survival": 0.764706,
        "best_return": 0.137612,
        "worst_return": -0.067303,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 11,
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        "positive_rate": 0.818182,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.818182,
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        "worst_return": -0.097473,
        "sufficient": true
      },
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        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 6,
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        "directional_follow_through": 0.833333,
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        "regime_survival": 0.333333,
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        "worst_return": -0.26154,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 3,
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        "worst_return": -0.063612,
        "sufficient": false
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        "regime": "deceleration",
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      {
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      {
        "regime": "balance",
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      },
      {
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      },
      {
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        "fair_value": 88.14073,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
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        "typical_volume": 10057335.0,
        "trend": 142.355691,
        "fair_value": 88.902891,
        "relative_strength": 20.020511,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 86.486447,
        "energy": 92.932442,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 165.679993,
        "volume": 13692200,
        "typical_volume": 10026745.0,
        "trend": 143.727947,
        "fair_value": 89.637801,
        "relative_strength": 16.059457,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 67.431256,
        "energy": 82.34799,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 166.039993,
        "volume": 12552400,
        "typical_volume": 9994425.0,
        "trend": 145.089721,
        "fair_value": 90.380274,
        "relative_strength": 16.153494,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 65.748216,
        "energy": 70.665315,
        "activity_lines": [
          166.562663,
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          158.612647,
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 165.639999,
        "volume": 7782000,
        "typical_volume": 9514255.0,
        "trend": 146.435848,
        "fair_value": 91.125608,
        "relative_strength": 11.643186,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 63.278983,
        "energy": 61.47325,
        "activity_lines": [
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}