{ "ticker": { "uuid": "3917d6e5-9602-46d5-a7fc-364b51d552bd", "symbol": "B1RF34", "name": "Broadridge Financial Solutions, Inc.", "exchange": "SAO", "country": "BR", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^BVSP", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4c", "phase_label": "Stage 4C \u00b7 Repair watch", "transition": "stage_4_to_1_watch", "transition_label": "Stage 4 \u2192 1 repair watch", "confidence": 67.061, "architecture_regime": "rotation_up", "architecture_regime_label": "Rotation Up", "architecture_modifier": "Structural repair", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": 8.063, "architecture_energy": 14.336, "architecture_maturity": 33.081, "architecture_confidence": 49.007, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The Activity Line structure is rotating upward.", "body": "Fast Activity is improving relative to Slow Activity and price acceptance is strengthening. This is earlier than full positive Trend confirmation and remains a developing repair." }, "scores": { "balance": 50.46, "rotation_up": 31.19, "upward_expansion": 29.79, "deceleration": 50.17, "rotation_down": 24.68, "downward_expansion": 58.79 }, "activity_lines": [ 196.330002, 193.735973, 191.997383, 198.061114 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.5 }, "latest_close": 214.229996, "trend_reference": 211.372678, "distance_from_trend": 0.013518, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 251.520006, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.148259, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -21.154632, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.112525, "excess_performance": -0.055477, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.013518, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.148754, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.148259, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.097572, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.211546, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.222743, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.112525, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.923077, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 10, "relative_activity": 0.621118, "balance": 1.923077, "dry_up": 0.15528, "accumulation_observations": 0, "distribution_observations": 0 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.023894, "annualized_volatility": 0.36268, "from_high_reference": -0.404311, "from_low_reference": 0.197655 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 211.372678, "fair_value_reference": 251.520006, "structural_low": 178.874573, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": 0.014388, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.043518, "regime_survival": 0.166667, "best_return": 0.142132, "worst_return": -0.138718, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": 0.003393, "positive_rate": 0.6, "directional_follow_through": 0.6, "median_excess_return": -0.150583, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.275557, "worst_return": -0.325794, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": -0.042451, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.161926, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.326765, "worst_return": -0.192339, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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251.394998, "relative_strength": -33.968255, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -72.911423, "energy": 69.019005, "activity_lines": [ 188.504004, 189.692396, 190.9989, 200.056442 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 187.380005, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 15.6, "trend": 214.118673, "fair_value": 251.371444, "relative_strength": -34.277402, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -71.110709, "energy": 89.362186, "activity_lines": [ 187.754671, 189.350599, 190.101975, 198.053932 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 214.229996, "volume": 10, "typical_volume": 16.1, "trend": 211.372678, "fair_value": 251.520006, "relative_strength": -21.154632, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Structural repair", "gate": "down", "direction": 8.062515, "energy": 14.335912, "activity_lines": [ 196.330002, 193.735973, 191.997383, 198.061114 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }