{ "ticker": { "uuid": "3919bfad-0a1f-4465-b0ae-d0ef3b2b0cf2", "symbol": "ECO", "name": "Eco (Atlantic) Oil & Gas Ltd.", "exchange": "LSE", "country": "GB", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^FTSE", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 77.863, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 18.62, "architecture_energy": 16.272, "architecture_maturity": 33.248, "architecture_confidence": 70.855, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.", "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down." }, "scores": { "balance": 61.66, "rotation_up": 41.58, "upward_expansion": 57.13, "deceleration": 68.67, "rotation_down": 14.29, "downward_expansion": 14.13 }, "activity_lines": [ 0.5536, 0.541745, 0.556905, 0.549114 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.0 }, "latest_close": 0.514, "trend_reference": 0.513667, "distance_from_trend": 0.000649, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 0.186867, "distance_from_fair_value": 1.75062, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": 40.874217, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.427778, "excess_performance": 0.376542, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.000649, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.322633, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 1.75062, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.91229, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.408742, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.992933, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.427778, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.573168, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 2620357, "relative_activity": 0.465218, "balance": 1.573168, "dry_up": 0.599514, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 0 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.123607, "annualized_volatility": 0.613152, "from_high_reference": -0.276056, "from_low_reference": 6.565499 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 0.513667, "fair_value_reference": 0.186867, "structural_low": 0.35, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 11, "median_return": -0.113475, "positive_rate": 0.363636, "directional_follow_through": 0.363636, "median_excess_return": -0.063815, "regime_survival": 0.727273, "best_return": 0.114286, "worst_return": -0.264957, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": -0.106722, "positive_rate": 0.0, "directional_follow_through": 0.0, "median_excess_return": -0.108286, "regime_survival": 0.25, "best_return": -0.024444, "worst_return": -0.309524, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": 0.140625, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.666667, "median_excess_return": 0.178561, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.241905, "worst_return": -0.171698, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 2, 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"activity_lines": [ 0.560267, 0.5464, 0.563133, 0.544624 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 0.56, "volume": 4377765, "typical_volume": 6703979.8, "trend": 0.506033, "fair_value": 0.184614, "relative_strength": 57.376118, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 32.961611, "energy": 25.305032, "activity_lines": [ 0.568, 0.547673, 0.562238, 0.5486 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 0.514, "volume": 2620357, "typical_volume": 5632532.0, "trend": 0.513667, "fair_value": 0.186867, "relative_strength": 40.874217, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 18.62003, "energy": 16.27217, "activity_lines": [ 0.5536, 0.541745, 0.556905, 0.549114 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }