{ "ticker": { "uuid": "392eac1c-0986-41ea-81ba-a0320abe83e9", "symbol": "STNEN", "name": "StoneCo Ltd.", "exchange": "MEX", "country": "MX", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^MXX", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -70.94, "architecture_energy": 48.721, "architecture_maturity": 83.908, "architecture_confidence": 92.029, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 30.94, "rotation_up": 28.98, "upward_expansion": 11.92, "deceleration": 51.38, "rotation_down": 45.27, "downward_expansion": 73.92 }, "activity_lines": [ 189.333331, 190.381817, 193.282359, 205.460598 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.5 }, "latest_close": 181.919998, "trend_reference": 224.08259, "distance_from_trend": -0.188156, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 245.972543, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.260405, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -31.162095, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.363033, "excess_performance": -0.308366, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.188156, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.113896, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.260405, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.029815, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.311621, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.06646, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.363033, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.810638, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 3167, "relative_activity": 0.21338, "balance": 0.810638, "dry_up": 0.400516, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.065172, "annualized_volatility": 0.550811, "from_high_reference": -0.492362, "from_low_reference": 0.095904 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 224.08259, "fair_value_reference": 245.972543, 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195.5, "volume": 6536, "typical_volume": 16585.7, "trend": 231.502887, "fair_value": 246.695509, "relative_strength": -27.361687, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -44.778455, "energy": 35.569546, "activity_lines": [ 192.626667, 191.238182, 198.694749, 213.205077 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 190.199997, "volume": 7146, "typical_volume": 14520.95, "trend": 229.027291, "fair_value": 246.461529, "relative_strength": -28.574565, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -49.656468, "energy": 40.096373, "activity_lines": [ 192.173333, 191.46, 196.753003, 210.540375 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 195.199997, "volume": 6929, "typical_volume": 14767.8, "trend": 226.829236, "fair_value": 246.2596, "relative_strength": -26.84333, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -45.294835, "energy": 38.023803, "activity_lines": [ 193.039998, 192.165454, 195.530747, 208.357969 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 181.919998, "volume": 3167, "typical_volume": 14842.1, "trend": 224.08259, "fair_value": 245.972543, "relative_strength": -31.162095, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -70.940287, "energy": 48.721348, "activity_lines": [ 189.333331, 190.381817, 193.282359, 205.460598 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }