{ "ticker": { "uuid": "39375cd9-1268-4339-bb0c-1d3371410eb9", "symbol": "000676", "name": "Genimous Technology Co., Ltd.", "exchange": "SHZ", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "399001.SZ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4c", "phase_label": "Stage 4C \u00b7 Repair watch", "transition": "stage_4_to_1_watch", "transition_label": "Stage 4 \u2192 1 repair watch", "confidence": 85.984, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": 12.735, "architecture_energy": 32.266, "architecture_maturity": 99.266, "architecture_confidence": 45.679, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 46.79, "rotation_up": 50.31, "upward_expansion": 34.91, "deceleration": 47.33, "rotation_down": 16.68, "downward_expansion": 45.57 }, "activity_lines": [ 7.112, 6.47, 6.439524, 6.806258 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.166667 }, "latest_close": 7.66, "trend_reference": 7.449, "distance_from_trend": 0.028326, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 7.843205, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.023358, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -11.229192, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.185972, "excess_performance": -0.193372, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.028326, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.105905, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.023358, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.019377, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.112292, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.198468, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.185972, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.40594, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 999725595, "relative_activity": 4.123357, "balance": 1.40594, "dry_up": 3.519366, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.101024, "annualized_volatility": 0.5412, "from_high_reference": -0.406202, "from_low_reference": 0.528942 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 7.449, "fair_value_reference": 7.843205, "structural_low": 5.01, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 22, "median_return": 0.040272, "positive_rate": 0.681818, "directional_follow_through": 0.318182, "median_excess_return": 0.040164, "regime_survival": 0.681818, "best_return": 0.476619, "worst_return": -0.218794, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 9, "median_return": 0.189542, "positive_rate": 0.555556, "directional_follow_through": 0.444444, "median_excess_return": 0.073796, "regime_survival": 0.444444, "best_return": 0.926186, "worst_return": -0.314028, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": 0.189714, "positive_rate": 0.833333, "directional_follow_through": 0.166667, "median_excess_return": 0.187097, "regime_survival": 0.166667, "best_return": 0.665653, "worst_return": -0.382387, "sufficient": true }, { 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"relative_strength": -43.490092, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -68.02843, "energy": 73.410958, "activity_lines": [ 5.311333, 5.593091, 6.31019, 6.917527 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 6.84, "volume": 451608922, "typical_volume": 113833759.55, "trend": 7.572667, "fair_value": 7.831603, "relative_strength": -19.507474, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -53.06205, "energy": 50.58538, "activity_lines": [ 5.807333, 5.749455, 6.303619, 6.867118 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 6.47, "volume": 1086111370, "typical_volume": 159956769.0, "trend": 7.509333, "fair_value": 7.829808, "relative_strength": -23.370892, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -43.697233, "energy": 31.066157, "activity_lines": [ 6.095333, 5.851818, 6.271952, 6.795978 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 7.49, "volume": 875695375, "typical_volume": 197205914.25, "trend": 7.481333, "fair_value": 7.835641, "relative_strength": -9.310897, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -6.462696, "energy": 23.062361, "activity_lines": [ 6.656, 6.151636, 6.346, 6.794731 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 7.66, "volume": 999725595, "typical_volume": 242454269.25, "trend": 7.449, "fair_value": 7.843205, "relative_strength": -11.229192, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": 12.734588, "energy": 32.266064, "activity_lines": [ 7.112, 6.47, 6.439524, 6.806258 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }