{ "ticker": { "uuid": "39387688-d757-49b6-b77c-2306f87432b6", "symbol": "AUQ", "name": "Alara Resources Limited", "exchange": "ASX", "country": "AU", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^AXJO", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2a", "phase_label": "Stage 2A \u00b7 Early advance", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 56.623, "architecture_energy": 33.79, "architecture_maturity": 41.038, "architecture_confidence": 71.079, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 25.44, "rotation_up": 50.29, "upward_expansion": 76.95, "deceleration": 66.45, "rotation_down": 22.98, "downward_expansion": 5.95 }, "activity_lines": [ 0.040133, 0.039941, 0.037708, 0.036662 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.5 }, "latest_close": 0.041, "trend_reference": 0.035878, "distance_from_trend": 0.142754, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 0.039499, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.038, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 5.58475, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.242424, "excess_performance": 0.178719, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.142754, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.04449, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.038, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.203364, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.055847, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.140678, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.242424, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.295063, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 7545362, "relative_activity": 4.845327, "balance": 1.295063, "dry_up": 3.251948, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.12758, "annualized_volatility": 0.667576, "from_high_reference": -0.196078, "from_low_reference": 0.518519 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 0.035878, "fair_value_reference": 0.039499, "structural_low": 0.029, "invalidation": "A sustained 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"relative_strength": 6.423975, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 53.015405, "energy": 30.51276, "activity_lines": [ 0.038713, 0.038426, 0.036473, 0.035829 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 0.043, "volume": 9795813, "typical_volume": 1247197.3, "trend": 0.035678, "fair_value": 0.039493, "relative_strength": 14.271889, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 65.741432, "energy": 31.374556, "activity_lines": [ 0.039623, 0.039465, 0.037217, 0.036318 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 0.041, "volume": 7545362, "typical_volume": 1557245.2, "trend": 0.035878, "fair_value": 0.039499, "relative_strength": 5.58475, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 56.623334, "energy": 33.78951, "activity_lines": [ 0.040133, 0.039941, 0.037708, 0.036662 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }