{ "ticker": { "uuid": "393a3942-f772-4c99-922c-ff4f03d60672", "symbol": "5220", "name": "Higgstec Inc.", "exchange": "TWO", "country": "TW", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-14", "benchmark": "^TWII", "stage": 1, "stage_name": "Basing", "phase": "1b", "phase_label": "Stage 1B \u00b7 Basing", "transition": "stage_1_building", "transition_label": "Base still building", "confidence": 70.628, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 2.611, "architecture_energy": 9.996, "architecture_maturity": 30.679, "architecture_confidence": 76.913, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.", "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down." }, "scores": { "balance": 54.21, "rotation_up": 17.6, "upward_expansion": 40.67, "deceleration": 79.68, "rotation_down": 35.4, "downward_expansion": 34.67 }, "activity_lines": [ 20.343334, 20.516869, 20.857721, 20.586384 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.5 }, "latest_close": 20.1, "trend_reference": 20.033568, "distance_from_trend": 0.003316, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 22.007006, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.086654, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -26.060748, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.132889, "excess_performance": -0.308483, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.003316, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.057655, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.086654, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.085284, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.260607, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.048383, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.132889, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.057112, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 394001, "relative_activity": 1.178178, "balance": 1.057112, "dry_up": 0.616103, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.06426, "annualized_volatility": 0.258882, "from_high_reference": -0.209612, "from_low_reference": 0.210208 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 20.033568, "fair_value_reference": 22.007006, "structural_low": 18.432219, "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": -0.003478, "positive_rate": 0.4, "directional_follow_through": 0.4, "median_excess_return": 0.003091, "regime_survival": 0.8, "best_return": 0.011609, "worst_return": -0.038278, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 2, "median_return": -0.01431, "positive_rate": 0.0, "directional_follow_through": 0.0, "median_excess_return": -0.04274, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": -0.000698, "worst_return": -0.027923, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 1, "median_return": -0.028601, "positive_rate": 0.0, "directional_follow_through": 0.0, "median_excess_return": -0.082292, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": -0.028601, "worst_return": -0.028601, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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"activity_lines": [ 20.766762, 21.028379, 20.980136, 20.509903 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 20.1, "volume": 173100, "typical_volume": 323065.4, "trend": 19.818719, "fair_value": 22.086221, "relative_strength": -23.481963, "stage": 1, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 6.290921, "energy": 9.154993, "activity_lines": [ 20.556667, 20.796526, 20.931711, 20.534604 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 20.450001, "volume": 118035, "typical_volume": 320115.9, "trend": 19.928691, "fair_value": 22.048033, "relative_strength": -23.095355, "stage": 1, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 10.559265, "energy": 10.249503, "activity_lines": [ 20.493334, 20.666088, 20.914544, 20.575332 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-14", "close": 20.1, "volume": 394001, "typical_volume": 334415.55, "trend": 20.033568, "fair_value": 22.007006, "relative_strength": -26.060748, "stage": 1, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 2.6108, "energy": 9.995925, "activity_lines": [ 20.343334, 20.516869, 20.857721, 20.586384 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }