{ "ticker": { "uuid": "393b74ff-d186-4977-9a1b-a6096fd7060d", "symbol": "2482", "name": "Uniform Industrial Corporation", "exchange": "TAI", "country": "TW", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-14", "benchmark": "^TWII", "stage": 1, "stage_name": "Basing", "phase": "1b", "phase_label": "Stage 1B \u00b7 Basing", "transition": "stage_1_building", "transition_label": "Base still building", "confidence": 51.464, "architecture_regime": "balance", "architecture_regime_label": "Balance", "architecture_modifier": "Balance after decline", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -50.162, "architecture_energy": 29.054, "architecture_maturity": 19.627, "architecture_confidence": 80.625, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.", "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base." }, "scores": { "balance": 36.83, "rotation_up": 19.51, "upward_expansion": 8.6, "deceleration": 43.27, "rotation_down": 55.6, "downward_expansion": 72.6 }, "activity_lines": [ 16.412696, 16.76107, 16.805582, 16.840444 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.0 }, "latest_close": 16.0, "trend_reference": 17.008546, "distance_from_trend": -0.059296, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 25.78424, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.379466, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -36.225878, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.080383, "excess_performance": -0.521755, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.059296, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.00575, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.379466, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.07383, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.362259, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.04114, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.080383, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.508506, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 829934, "relative_activity": 0.596017, "balance": 1.508506, "dry_up": 0.99003, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.091136, "annualized_volatility": 0.277292, "from_high_reference": -0.315179, "from_low_reference": 0.034939 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 17.008546, "fair_value_reference": 25.78424, "structural_low": 15.459855, "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 10, "median_return": -0.023146, "positive_rate": 0.3, "directional_follow_through": 0.3, "median_excess_return": -0.022627, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.214844, "worst_return": -0.076801, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": 0.071856, "positive_rate": 0.6, "directional_follow_through": 0.6, "median_excess_return": -0.242581, "regime_survival": 0.4, "best_return": 0.869048, "worst_return": -0.130208, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": 0.321739, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.666667, "median_excess_return": 0.291141, "regime_survival": 0.333333, "best_return": 1.607143, "worst_return": -0.067708, "sufficient": 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16.924045, 16.848662, 16.943142 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 17.995073, "volume": 8383222, "typical_volume": 1356957.6, "trend": 17.113546, "fair_value": 26.824271, "relative_strength": -27.147132, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 19.706136, "energy": 26.230104, "activity_lines": [ 17.435005, 17.145481, 16.959445, 17.002153 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 17.547682, "volume": 2074521, "typical_volume": 1430481.2, "trend": 17.121831, "fair_value": 26.544594, "relative_strength": -29.660216, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 13.521329, "energy": 25.403922, "activity_lines": [ 17.524484, 17.260266, 17.026672, 17.030162 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 16.1, "volume": 1870332, "typical_volume": 1486683.95, "trend": 17.075232, "fair_value": 26.274694, "relative_strength": -33.754044, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -8.486171, "energy": 8.020478, "activity_lines": [ 17.111517, 17.085626, 16.953421, 16.964237 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 16.200001, "volume": 739553, "typical_volume": 1485856.95, "trend": 17.043566, "fair_value": 26.015665, "relative_strength": -34.09723, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -36.215135, "energy": 15.285627, "activity_lines": [ 16.772059, 16.941932, 16.889722, 16.90777 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-14", "close": 16.0, "volume": 829934, "typical_volume": 1392467.35, "trend": 17.008546, "fair_value": 25.78424, "relative_strength": -36.225878, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -50.162295, "energy": 29.053673, "activity_lines": [ 16.412696, 16.76107, 16.805582, 16.840444 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }