{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "3943f493-9702-4b70-971c-fe7b8851db0b",
    "symbol": "PUM",
    "name": "PUMA SE",
    "exchange": "GER",
    "country": "DE",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^GDAXI",
    "stage": 1,
    "stage_name": "Basing",
    "phase": "1c",
    "phase_label": "Stage 1C \u00b7 Breakout watch",
    "transition": "stage_1_to_2_watch",
    "transition_label": "Stage 1 \u2192 2 watch",
    "confidence": 53.494,
    "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 49.48,
    "architecture_energy": 29.133,
    "architecture_maturity": 62.541,
    "architecture_confidence": 67.201,
    "architecture_tenure": "Established",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 38.97,
        "rotation_up": 38.96,
        "upward_expansion": 74.29,
        "deceleration": 69.18,
        "rotation_down": 25.98,
        "downward_expansion": 3.29
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        27.670667,
        27.664364,
        27.357952,
        26.375828
      ],
      "activity_state": "Compressed",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": 0.5
    },
    "latest_close": 27.110001,
    "trend_reference": 25.001333,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.084342,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 33.398444,
    "distance_from_fair_value": -0.188286,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": 9.401864,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": 0.194273,
    "excess_performance": 0.129633,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.084342,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.111549,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.188286,
        "read": "Below anchor"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.100417,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.094019,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.068577,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.194273,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 2.0025,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 2645474,
      "relative_activity": 0.945628,
      "balance": 2.0025,
      "dry_up": 1.010881,
      "accumulation_observations": 3,
      "distribution_observations": 1
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.079165,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.345814,
      "from_high_reference": -0.105576,
      "from_low_reference": 0.771895
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 25.001333,
      "fair_value_reference": 33.398444,
      "structural_low": 19.605,
      "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 11,
        "median_return": -0.039794,
        "positive_rate": 0.272727,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.272727,
        "median_excess_return": -0.01102,
        "regime_survival": 0.545455,
        "best_return": 0.1512,
        "worst_return": -0.30092,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 5,
        "median_return": -0.063165,
        "positive_rate": 0.2,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.2,
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        "regime_survival": 0.2,
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        "worst_return": -0.536322,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 3,
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        "worst_return": -0.453056,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
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        "worst_return": -0.471232,
        "sufficient": false
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    ],
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        "regime": "deceleration",
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        "color": "amber",
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        "active": false
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        "regime": "rotation_down",
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      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
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        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "balance",
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        "date": "2026-06-05",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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      },
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
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        "typical_volume": 3022144.85,
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        "relative_strength": 24.799734,
        "stage": 1,
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        "energy": 40.108978,
        "activity_lines": [
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          25.829591
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 27.99,
        "volume": 2626243,
        "typical_volume": 2871311.8,
        "trend": 24.726,
        "fair_value": 33.837462,
        "relative_strength": 19.848063,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
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        "direction": 56.039376,
        "energy": 38.212432,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 27.5,
        "volume": 3650176,
        "typical_volume": 2872945.65,
        "trend": 24.896,
        "fair_value": 33.623624,
        "relative_strength": 14.622584,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 53.162151,
        "energy": 35.805979,
        "activity_lines": [
          27.916667,
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          26.232989
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 27.110001,
        "volume": 2645474,
        "typical_volume": 2797583.0,
        "trend": 25.001333,
        "fair_value": 33.398444,
        "relative_strength": 9.401864,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 49.479626,
        "energy": 29.133165,
        "activity_lines": [
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}