{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "3951125c-6fc4-4d70-87bc-5a1825d2c522",
    "symbol": "IDA",
    "name": "Indiana Resources Limited",
    "exchange": "ASX",
    "country": "AU",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^AXJO",
    "stage": 4,
    "stage_name": "Declining",
    "phase": "4b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining",
    "transition": "stage_4_declining",
    "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction",
    "architecture_gate": "down",
    "architecture_direction": -64.891,
    "architecture_energy": 66.56,
    "architecture_maturity": 64.857,
    "architecture_confidence": 91.056,
    "architecture_tenure": "Established",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 6.84,
        "rotation_up": 22.8,
        "upward_expansion": 13.4,
        "deceleration": 46.27,
        "rotation_down": 60.18,
        "downward_expansion": 86.73
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        0.020867,
        0.021745,
        0.024307,
        0.02693
      ],
      "activity_state": "Wide",
      "activity_direction": "Expanding",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": -0.666667
    },
    "latest_close": 0.021,
    "trend_reference": 0.030917,
    "distance_from_trend": -0.320755,
    "trend_direction": "Weakening",
    "fair_value": 0.027123,
    "distance_from_fair_value": -0.22576,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": -44.095106,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": -0.461538,
    "excess_performance": -0.525244,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.320755,
        "read": "Below"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.145555,
        "read": "Falling"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.22576,
        "read": "Below anchor"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.318879,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.440951,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.182499,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.461538,
        "read": "Negative"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 1.396364,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 3565045,
      "relative_activity": 1.298967,
      "balance": 1.396364,
      "dry_up": 1.152207,
      "accumulation_observations": 3,
      "distribution_observations": 1
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.135531,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.496402,
      "from_high_reference": -0.625,
      "from_low_reference": 0.05
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 0.030917,
      "fair_value_reference": 0.027123,
      "structural_low": 0.02,
      "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 17,
        "median_return": -0.030303,
        "positive_rate": 0.352941,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.647059,
        "median_excess_return": -0.011533,
        "regime_survival": 0.764706,
        "best_return": 0.395396,
        "worst_return": -0.178571,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 7,
        "median_return": -0.040847,
        "positive_rate": 0.428571,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.571429,
        "median_excess_return": -0.0444,
        "regime_survival": 0.571429,
        "best_return": 0.240714,
        "worst_return": -0.363636,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 4,
        "median_return": -0.02689,
        "positive_rate": 0.25,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.75,
        "median_excess_return": -0.004244,
        "regime_survival": 0.25,
        "best_return": 0.702171,
        "worst_return": -0.145485,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 2,
        "median_return": 0.260587,
        "positive_rate": 1.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.0,
        "median_excess_return": 0.260456,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.454531,
        "worst_return": 0.066642,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "ledger": [
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2023-09-08",
        "end": "2023-09-22",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.033925,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2023-09-29",
        "end": "2023-10-13",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.0,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2023-10-20",
        "end": "2023-12-15",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.12725,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
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        "end": "2024-03-08",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.218778,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
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        "end": "2024-04-26",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.037501,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
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        "end": "2024-05-17",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.040227,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2024-05-24",
        "end": "2024-07-12",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.089725,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2024-07-19",
        "end": "2025-05-30",
        "tenure": "Extended",
        "return": 0.682347,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
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        "end": "2025-07-04",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.115402,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
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        "tenure": "Established",
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      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
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        "end": "2025-12-05",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.159091,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
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        "end": "2026-01-16",
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        "return": 0.2,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
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      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
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        "tenure": "Established",
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        "active": true
      }
    ],
    "chart_path": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
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        "stage": 4,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 0.02,
        "volume": 4386197,
        "typical_volume": 3042563.8,
        "trend": 0.03155,
        "fair_value": 0.027077,
        "relative_strength": -45.642624,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -75.021076,
        "energy": 71.915101,
        "activity_lines": [
          0.021067,
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          0.024905,
          0.027611
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 0.021,
        "volume": 3565045,
        "typical_volume": 2744523.85,
        "trend": 0.030917,
        "fair_value": 0.027123,
        "relative_strength": -44.095106,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -64.891274,
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}