{ "ticker": { "uuid": "39605581-ad35-4907-abb5-cc6d9f973b57", "symbol": "MIDW", "name": "Midwich Group plc", "exchange": "LSE", "country": "GB", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^FTSE", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -34.878, "architecture_energy": 20.168, "architecture_maturity": 79.3, "architecture_confidence": 73.915, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 46.96, "rotation_up": 26.43, "upward_expansion": 18.74, "deceleration": 46.36, "rotation_down": 25.98, "downward_expansion": 55.08 }, "activity_lines": [ 141.573333, 139.138182, 141.080454, 148.59849 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.166667 }, "latest_close": 144.8, "trend_reference": 160.789786, "distance_from_trend": -0.099445, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 275.324584, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.474075, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -23.414394, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.257269, "excess_performance": -0.323548, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.099445, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.071349, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.474075, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.037624, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.234144, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.048269, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.257269, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.30444, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 1124222, "relative_activity": 0.842676, "balance": 0.30444, "dry_up": 0.694641, "accumulation_observations": 0, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.095192, "annualized_volatility": 0.528476, "from_high_reference": -0.396476, "from_low_reference": 0.13125 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 160.789786, "fair_value_reference": 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"downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -58.240784, "energy": 47.448427, "activity_lines": [ 136.106667, 138.169139, 144.390496, 154.765934 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 133.8, "volume": 1904328, "typical_volume": 1575426.0, "trend": 164.96565, "fair_value": 280.765812, "relative_strength": -29.901998, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -61.25189, "energy": 48.643553, "activity_lines": [ 135.386667, 136.955778, 142.414036, 152.645229 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 136.4, "volume": 413811, "typical_volume": 1578820.25, "trend": 163.263719, "fair_value": 278.861534, "relative_strength": -28.658326, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -54.249566, "energy": 39.720338, "activity_lines": [ 135.586667, 136.454546, 141.114481, 150.802284 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 146.4, "volume": 264545, "typical_volume": 1549532.05, "trend": 162.095077, "fair_value": 277.110992, "relative_strength": -23.294055, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -40.028719, "energy": 26.74128, "activity_lines": [ 139.36, 137.901818, 141.141362, 149.714302 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 144.8, "volume": 1124222, "typical_volume": 1334109.5, "trend": 160.789786, "fair_value": 275.324584, "relative_strength": -23.414394, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -34.877515, "energy": 20.167876, "activity_lines": [ 141.573333, 139.138182, 141.080454, 148.59849 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }