{ "ticker": { "uuid": "396c48d4-72a1-4559-b089-a5a9584e012b", "symbol": "G50", "name": "G50 Corp Limited", "exchange": "ASX", "country": "AU", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^AXJO", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4a", "phase_label": "Stage 4A \u00b7 Breakdown", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -75.236, "architecture_energy": 66.387, "architecture_maturity": 26.0, "architecture_confidence": 85.148, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 17.4, "rotation_up": 12.76, "upward_expansion": 12.62, "deceleration": 41.94, "rotation_down": 72.57, "downward_expansion": 88.28 }, "activity_lines": [ 0.542, 0.575909, 0.663714, 0.694828 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.833333 }, "latest_close": 0.49, "trend_reference": 0.729833, "distance_from_trend": -0.328614, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 0.308872, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.586419, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -25.642506, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.367742, "excess_performance": -0.431448, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.328614, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.012018, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.586419, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -1.783801, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.256425, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -1.038025, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.367742, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.089326, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 3658097, "relative_activity": 2.91639, "balance": 0.089326, "dry_up": 1.706949, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 5 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.21821, "annualized_volatility": 0.950641, "from_high_reference": -0.512438, "from_low_reference": 1.041667 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 0.729833, "fair_value_reference": 0.308872, "structural_low": 0.45, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 12, "median_return": -0.02, "positive_rate": 0.416667, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.045993, "regime_survival": 0.666667, "best_return": 0.9, "worst_return": -0.230769, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": 0.0, "positive_rate": 0.4, "directional_follow_through": 0.4, "median_excess_return": -0.017269, "regime_survival": 0.4, "best_return": 0.802326, "worst_return": -0.426667, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": 0.0, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.0, "median_excess_return": 0.015933, "regime_survival": 0.333333, "best_return": 1.48, "worst_return": 0.0, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 2, 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0.299513, "relative_strength": -11.086899, "stage": 3, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Supply rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -52.480255, "energy": 68.951989, "activity_lines": [ 0.610667, 0.685545, 0.730976, 0.743946 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 0.5, "volume": 577259, "typical_volume": 1319377.55, "trend": 0.7385, "fair_value": 0.301468, "relative_strength": -18.205228, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Structural failure", "gate": "down", "direction": -80.333996, "energy": 83.413018, "activity_lines": [ 0.563, 0.640909, 0.707238, 0.72843 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 0.66, "volume": 1342607, "typical_volume": 1301912.85, "trend": 0.739167, "fair_value": 0.304417, "relative_strength": 7.065802, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -63.877662, "energy": 71.563737, "activity_lines": [ 0.586, 0.632636, 0.700952, 0.723366 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 0.54, "volume": 2986304, "typical_volume": 1295258.55, "trend": 0.733167, "fair_value": 0.306756, "relative_strength": -15.056653, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -70.143148, "energy": 68.517528, "activity_lines": [ 0.569333, 0.606, 0.684357, 0.710516 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 0.49, "volume": 3658097, "typical_volume": 1254323.6, "trend": 0.729833, "fair_value": 0.308872, "relative_strength": -25.642506, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -75.236122, "energy": 66.387419, "activity_lines": [ 0.542, 0.575909, 0.663714, 0.694828 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }