{ "ticker": { "uuid": "397dac12-a7a7-4463-b9c2-539c60e09eb0", "symbol": "ATT", "name": "Altitude Minerals Ltd", "exchange": "ASX", "country": "AU", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^AXJO", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -63.603, "architecture_energy": 57.459, "architecture_maturity": 76.157, "architecture_confidence": 92.036, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 12.21, "rotation_up": 21.56, "upward_expansion": 9.44, "deceleration": 51.84, "rotation_down": 59.95, "downward_expansion": 82.77 }, "activity_lines": [ 0.008867, 0.009436, 0.010833, 0.012394 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.666667 }, "latest_close": 0.009, "trend_reference": 0.015, "distance_from_trend": -0.4, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 0.059588, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.848962, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -57.632004, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.55, "excess_performance": -0.613706, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.4, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.229452, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.848962, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.033077, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.57632, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.255844, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.55, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.872088, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 4585528, "relative_activity": 1.323667, "balance": 0.872088, "dry_up": 1.11202, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.226496, "annualized_volatility": 0.850886, "from_high_reference": -0.8125, "from_low_reference": 0.285714 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 0.015, "fair_value_reference": 0.059588, "structural_low": 0.007, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 30, "median_return": -0.047379, "positive_rate": 0.366667, "directional_follow_through": 0.566667, "median_excess_return": -0.08052, "regime_survival": 0.933333, "best_return": 0.4, "worst_return": -0.433333, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 9, "median_return": -0.216667, "positive_rate": 0.111111, "directional_follow_through": 0.777778, "median_excess_return": -0.255254, "regime_survival": 0.777778, "best_return": 1.294118, "worst_return": -0.436799, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": -0.385066, "positive_rate": 0.25, "directional_follow_through": 0.75, "median_excess_return": -0.431225, "regime_survival": 0.75, "best_return": 0.033333, "worst_return": -0.590909, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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"color": "teal", "start": "2024-05-24", "end": "2024-05-31", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.148148, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2024-06-07", "end": "2024-07-05", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.351064, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2024-07-12", "end": "2025-08-15", "tenure": "Extended", "return": -0.616667, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-08-22", "end": "2025-08-29", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.04, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_up", "label": "Rotation Up", "color": "teal", "start": "2025-09-05", "end": "2025-10-03", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.321429, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2025-10-10", "end": "2025-11-07", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.307692, "active": false }, { 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"volume": 1807458, "typical_volume": 3069341.1, "trend": 0.016033, "fair_value": 0.063203, "relative_strength": -56.17295, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -71.941403, "energy": 60.508414, "activity_lines": [ 0.0096, 0.010182, 0.011638, 0.013331 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 0.008, "volume": 6085030, "typical_volume": 3317771.9, "trend": 0.0155, "fair_value": 0.061377, "relative_strength": -61.555269, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -77.29727, "energy": 64.188773, "activity_lines": [ 0.009, 0.009673, 0.011162, 0.012813 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 0.009, "volume": 4585528, "typical_volume": 3464262.25, "trend": 0.015, "fair_value": 0.059588, "relative_strength": -57.632004, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -63.603333, "energy": 57.45894, "activity_lines": [ 0.008867, 0.009436, 0.010833, 0.012394 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }