{ "ticker": { "uuid": "397f5ec3-759a-4d58-a420-8f98aa6982ed", "symbol": "KME", "name": "Kip McGrath Education Centres Limited", "exchange": "ASX", "country": "AU", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^AXJO", "stage": 3, "stage_name": "Distribution", "phase": "3a", "phase_label": "Stage 3A \u00b7 Churning", "transition": "stage_3_churning", "transition_label": "Stage 3 range intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "rotation_up", "architecture_regime_label": "Rotation Up", "architecture_modifier": "Value reclamation", "architecture_gate": "mixed", "architecture_direction": 58.177, "architecture_energy": 56.267, "architecture_maturity": 32.636, "architecture_confidence": 94.806, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The Activity Line structure is rotating upward.", "body": "Fast Activity is improving relative to Slow Activity and price acceptance is strengthening. This is earlier than full positive Trend confirmation and remains a developing repair." }, "scores": { "balance": 19.65, "rotation_up": 71.32, "upward_expansion": 48.68, "deceleration": 48.62, "rotation_down": 24.02, "downward_expansion": 21.01 }, "activity_lines": [ 0.619, 0.565182, 0.552548, 0.551207 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.166667 }, "latest_close": 0.715, "trend_reference": 0.551305, "distance_from_trend": 0.296923, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 0.469479, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.522963, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 21.423841, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.299383, "excess_performance": 0.235678, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.296923, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.012294, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.522963, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.270354, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.214238, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.148141, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.299383, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 3.304251, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 1142065, "relative_activity": 3.415458, "balance": 3.304251, "dry_up": 2.320349, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.064551, "annualized_volatility": 0.603386, "from_high_reference": -0.006944, "from_low_reference": 0.588889 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 0.551305, "fair_value_reference": 0.469479, "structural_low": 0.45, "invalidation": "A decisive 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0.488, 0.502591, 0.52594, 0.534604 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 0.48, "volume": 144076, "typical_volume": 210833.7, "trend": 0.543443, "fair_value": 0.46689, "relative_strength": -13.125211, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -68.914218, "energy": 67.616936, "activity_lines": [ 0.484, 0.495818, 0.52031, 0.530275 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 0.7, "volume": 1813131, "typical_volume": 290837.45, "trend": 0.547124, "fair_value": 0.468273, "relative_strength": 23.284093, "stage": 3, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Structural repair", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 24.166439, "energy": 24.884018, "activity_lines": [ 0.556667, 0.530318, 0.536036, 0.540376 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 0.715, "volume": 1142065, "typical_volume": 334381.2, "trend": 0.551305, "fair_value": 0.469479, "relative_strength": 21.423841, "stage": 3, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Value reclamation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 58.177407, "energy": 56.267075, "activity_lines": [ 0.619, 0.565182, 0.552548, 0.551207 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }