{ "ticker": { "uuid": "398ead43-500a-4dbb-bf6f-64e72956e2a5", "symbol": "VSCO", "name": "Victoria's Secret & Co", "exchange": "NYSE", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "SPY", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2c", "phase_label": "Stage 2C \u00b7 Late advance", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Re-accelerating", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 83.491, "architecture_energy": 67.288, "architecture_maturity": 42.738, "architecture_confidence": 82.342, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 13.24, "rotation_up": 70.29, "upward_expansion": 84.06, "deceleration": 59.3, "rotation_down": 16.56, "downward_expansion": 10.73 }, "activity_lines": [ 89.288667, 85.601455, 75.376714, 68.988731 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.666667 }, "latest_close": 98.54, "trend_reference": 63.000667, "distance_from_trend": 0.56411, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 33.249808, "distance_from_fair_value": 1.963626, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 71.649815, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.578155, "excess_performance": 0.45253, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.56411, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.226585, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 1.963626, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 1.283537, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.716498, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.577483, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.578155, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 6.078794, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 7894760, "relative_activity": 0.752017, "balance": 6.078794, "dry_up": 0.811929, "accumulation_observations": 4, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.104717, "annualized_volatility": 0.761477, "from_high_reference": -0.007953, "from_low_reference": 3.812698 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 63.000667, "fair_value_reference": 33.249808, "structural_low": 41.99, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 17, "median_return": 0.073857, "positive_rate": 0.588235, "directional_follow_through": 0.588235, "median_excess_return": 0.045102, "regime_survival": 0.764706, "best_return": 0.526331, "worst_return": -0.378094, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": -0.208818, "positive_rate": 0.4, "directional_follow_through": 0.4, "median_excess_return": -0.164411, "regime_survival": 0.4, "best_return": 1.129977, "worst_return": -0.534698, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": -0.182493, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": -0.181273, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.685199, "worst_return": -0.315566, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full 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"trend": 59.744, "fair_value": 31.903269, "relative_strength": 58.310895, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 66.88983, "energy": 61.26775, "activity_lines": [ 80.653333, 77.335636, 67.249571, 63.286925 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 83.55, "volume": 10202403, "typical_volume": 11050537.45, "trend": 60.735333, "fair_value": 32.309551, "relative_strength": 59.84331, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 68.451836, "energy": 56.670194, "activity_lines": [ 81.37, 79.546727, 69.506333, 64.822796 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 88.68, "volume": 8760112, "typical_volume": 10667829.75, "trend": 61.912667, "fair_value": 32.747179, "relative_strength": 63.885482, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 74.978729, "energy": 59.452305, "activity_lines": [ 83.692, 82.007091, 72.076333, 66.625677 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 98.54, "volume": 7894760, "typical_volume": 10498114.3, "trend": 63.000667, "fair_value": 33.249808, "relative_strength": 71.649815, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 83.491498, "energy": 67.288055, "activity_lines": [ 89.288667, 85.601455, 75.376714, 68.988731 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }