{ "ticker": { "uuid": "3991b935-7777-473e-9fd9-9dc7806816c6", "symbol": "AOA", "name": "ISHARES CORE 80/20 AGGRESSIVE ALLOCATION ETF", "exchange": "NYSEARCA", "country": "US", "assetType": "etf" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "SPY", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 69.801, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 76.344, "architecture_energy": 47.612, "architecture_maturity": 50.629, "architecture_confidence": 72.672, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 26.48, "rotation_up": 51.96, "upward_expansion": 79.37, "deceleration": 62.32, "rotation_down": 25.7, "downward_expansion": 6.04 }, "activity_lines": [ 97.458667, 97.111881, 96.415337, 95.143062 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.666667 }, "latest_close": 99.39, "trend_reference": 93.741551, "distance_from_trend": 0.060256, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 77.921381, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.275516, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -2.566847, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.077489, "excess_performance": -0.048136, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.060256, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.029671, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.275516, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.005522, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.025668, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.008516, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.077489, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.660573, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 594371, "relative_activity": 1.048439, "balance": 1.660573, "dry_up": 0.943132, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.021053, "annualized_volatility": 0.126054, "from_high_reference": -0.002431, "from_low_reference": 0.199062 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 93.741551, "fair_value_reference": 77.921381, "structural_low": 85.627876, 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402373, "typical_volume": 651708.9, "trend": 93.03739, "fair_value": 77.253596, "relative_strength": -1.725062, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 58.151746, "energy": 42.148793, "activity_lines": [ 96.86148, 96.694587, 95.498347, 94.355764 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 95.8, "volume": 561653, "typical_volume": 618311.5, "trend": 93.233407, "fair_value": 77.46, "relative_strength": -1.816299, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 45.695752, "energy": 34.458704, "activity_lines": [ 96.498084, 96.571661, 95.691688, 94.533997 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 96.75, "volume": 580288, "typical_volume": 580509.7, "trend": 93.466075, "fair_value": 77.681114, "relative_strength": -1.875259, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 45.851365, "energy": 32.247258, "activity_lines": [ 96.567333, 96.607773, 95.94736, 94.760874 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 99.39, "volume": 594371, "typical_volume": 566910.55, "trend": 93.741551, "fair_value": 77.921381, "relative_strength": -2.566847, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 76.34362, "energy": 47.611518, "activity_lines": [ 97.458667, 97.111881, 96.415337, 95.143062 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }