{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "399dca6d-a44f-4965-b4b7-c9b740ccf5d0",
    "symbol": "EOT",
    "name": "Eaton Vance National Municipal Opportunities Trust",
    "exchange": "NYSE",
    "country": "US",
    "assetType": "etf"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "SPY",
    "stage": 3,
    "stage_name": "Distribution",
    "phase": "3a",
    "phase_label": "Stage 3A \u00b7 Churning",
    "transition": "stage_3_churning",
    "transition_label": "Stage 3 range intact",
    "confidence": 57.249,
    "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Re-accelerating",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 47.589,
    "architecture_energy": 24.177,
    "architecture_maturity": 29.309,
    "architecture_confidence": 43.002,
    "architecture_tenure": "Developing",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 40.6,
        "rotation_up": 42.86,
        "upward_expansion": 62.74,
        "deceleration": 62.65,
        "rotation_down": 22.25,
        "downward_expansion": 15.08
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        17.337493,
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        17.155501
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      "activity_state": "Compressed",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": 0.333333
    },
    "latest_close": 17.52,
    "trend_reference": 17.135002,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.022469,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 15.716923,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.114722,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": -6.588897,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": 0.032293,
    "excess_performance": -0.093331,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.022469,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.018989,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.114722,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.026091,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.065889,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.010607,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.032293,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 1.173182,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 114486,
      "relative_activity": 0.741082,
      "balance": 1.173182,
      "dry_up": 0.822109,
      "accumulation_observations": 2,
      "distribution_observations": 2
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.025432,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.107234,
      "from_high_reference": -0.015749,
      "from_low_reference": 0.141786
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 17.135002,
      "fair_value_reference": 15.716923,
      "structural_low": 16.33215,
      "invalidation": "A decisive breakout above range resistance with renewed RS leadership invalidates the distribution reading; a range-low break confirms deterioration."
    },
    "outcomes": [
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        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 23,
        "median_return": -0.005396,
        "positive_rate": 0.391304,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.391304,
        "median_excess_return": -0.027735,
        "regime_survival": 0.652174,
        "best_return": 0.051706,
        "worst_return": -0.078303,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 9,
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        "positive_rate": 0.333333,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.333333,
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        "worst_return": -0.062215,
        "sufficient": true
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        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 5,
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        "worst_return": -0.060722,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
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        "worst_return": -0.207398,
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        "regime": "rotation_down",
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      },
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 17.07,
        "volume": 129913,
        "typical_volume": 153354.45,
        "trend": 17.090008,
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        "relative_strength": -5.057327,
        "stage": 3,
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        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
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        "direction": 45.82933,
        "energy": 27.042253,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 17.29,
        "volume": 122775,
        "typical_volume": 153718.65,
        "trend": 17.114532,
        "fair_value": 15.6989,
        "relative_strength": -4.724708,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 36.337909,
        "energy": 18.03561,
        "activity_lines": [
          17.269742,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 17.52,
        "volume": 114486,
        "typical_volume": 154484.9,
        "trend": 17.135002,
        "fair_value": 15.716923,
        "relative_strength": -6.588897,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 47.588975,
        "energy": 24.176589,
        "activity_lines": [
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}