{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "399e8620-7385-471e-b199-de475dc4f5e6",
    "symbol": "CL",
    "name": "Colgate-Palmolive Company",
    "exchange": "NYSE",
    "country": "US",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "SPY",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Re-accelerating",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 56.008,
    "architecture_energy": 29.406,
    "architecture_maturity": 24.558,
    "architecture_confidence": 59.208,
    "architecture_tenure": "Developing",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 30.06,
        "rotation_up": 43.8,
        "upward_expansion": 73.55,
        "deceleration": 65.94,
        "rotation_down": 22.08,
        "downward_expansion": 2.55
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        92.02702,
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        90.496423,
        89.911928
      ],
      "activity_state": "Compressed",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": 0.5
    },
    "latest_close": 93.27,
    "trend_reference": 89.546475,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.041582,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 85.216317,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.094509,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": -2.270774,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": -0.005807,
    "excess_performance": -0.131431,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.041582,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.051097,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.094509,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.047458,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.022708,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.05543,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.005807,
        "read": "Negative"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 1.573824,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 27363473,
      "relative_activity": 1.072759,
      "balance": 1.573824,
      "dry_up": 0.921773,
      "accumulation_observations": 4,
      "distribution_observations": 2
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.048439,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.184431,
      "from_high_reference": -0.055051,
      "from_low_reference": 0.266857
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 89.546475,
      "fair_value_reference": 85.216317,
      "structural_low": 81.79,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 19,
        "median_return": 0.005206,
        "positive_rate": 0.526316,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.526316,
        "median_excess_return": -0.000647,
        "regime_survival": 0.736842,
        "best_return": 0.08034,
        "worst_return": -0.081773,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 8,
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        "positive_rate": 0.375,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.375,
        "median_excess_return": -0.000355,
        "regime_survival": 0.375,
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        "worst_return": -0.109908,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 5,
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        "positive_rate": 0.2,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.2,
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        "regime_survival": 0.2,
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        "worst_return": -0.064791,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 3,
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        "positive_rate": 0.333333,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.333333,
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        "best_return": 0.180991,
        "worst_return": -0.044468,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
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        "tenure": "Developing",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
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      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
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        "tenure": "Extended",
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      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
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        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
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      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
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        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": -0.018483,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
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        "tenure": "Established",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
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      },
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        "regime": "balance",
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      },
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        "date": "2026-07-03",
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      },
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        "fair_value": 84.698035,
        "relative_strength": -2.323197,
        "stage": 2,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
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        "trend": 88.233999,
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        "relative_strength": 0.204762,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
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        "direction": 56.816532,
        "energy": 50.905979,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 90.75,
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        "typical_volume": 26429388.65,
        "trend": 88.634197,
        "fair_value": 84.953827,
        "relative_strength": -0.837585,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
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        "direction": 52.678488,
        "energy": 39.531949,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 91.3,
        "volume": 26070225,
        "typical_volume": 25984867.55,
        "trend": 89.119888,
        "fair_value": 85.080682,
        "relative_strength": -1.148982,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 48.954308,
        "energy": 26.353208,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 93.27,
        "volume": 27363473,
        "typical_volume": 25507565.9,
        "trend": 89.546475,
        "fair_value": 85.216317,
        "relative_strength": -2.270774,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 56.00809,
        "energy": 29.406389,
        "activity_lines": [
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}