{ "ticker": { "uuid": "39a39376-1135-47dd-84a8-2c17db982a5e", "symbol": "MUKANDLTD", "name": "Mukand Limited", "exchange": "NSI", "country": "IN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^NSEI", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2a", "phase_label": "Stage 2A \u00b7 Early advance", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 87.287, "architecture_regime": "balance", "architecture_regime_label": "Balance", "architecture_modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 59.954, "architecture_energy": 49.537, "architecture_maturity": 18.459, "architecture_confidence": 81.357, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.", "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base." }, "scores": { "balance": 29.63, "rotation_up": 61.18, "upward_expansion": 79.22, "deceleration": 51.97, "rotation_down": 17.04, "downward_expansion": 12.89 }, "activity_lines": [ 139.454749, 137.082105, 136.904643, 134.982718 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.166667 }, "latest_close": 143.220001, "trend_reference": 132.521164, "distance_from_trend": 0.080733, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 142.093918, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.007925, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 8.288175, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.123999, "excess_performance": 0.167709, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.080733, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.006997, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.007925, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.02325, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.082882, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.016508, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.123999, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.876306, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 623183, "relative_activity": 0.631678, "balance": 0.876306, "dry_up": 0.912202, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.056036, "annualized_volatility": 0.280907, "from_high_reference": -0.071507, "from_low_reference": 0.252909 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 132.521164, "fair_value_reference": 142.093918, "structural_low": 114.309998, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 19, "median_return": -0.003559, "positive_rate": 0.421053, "directional_follow_through": 0.421053, "median_excess_return": 0.002844, "regime_survival": 0.421053, "best_return": 0.136617, "worst_return": -0.164337, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 11, "median_return": -0.005852, "positive_rate": 0.454545, "directional_follow_through": 0.454545, "median_excess_return": -0.017593, "regime_survival": 0.272727, "best_return": 0.334184, "worst_return": -0.13222, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": -0.061986, "positive_rate": 0.428571, "directional_follow_through": 0.428571, "median_excess_return": 0.016168, "regime_survival": 0.285714, "best_return": 0.570454, "worst_return": 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142.372054, "relative_strength": 0.084385, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "up", "direction": 13.094924, "energy": 15.844981, "activity_lines": [ 131.755495, 134.408556, 134.37608, 132.902781 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 142.639755, "volume": 2077994, "typical_volume": 1020793.1, "trend": 131.943446, "fair_value": 142.510556, "relative_strength": 9.007237, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "up", "direction": 41.812282, "energy": 19.289983, "activity_lines": [ 135.075839, 135.556263, 135.351087, 133.616521 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 135.50238, "volume": 603104, "typical_volume": 1025907.0, "trend": 132.036858, "fair_value": 142.397176, "relative_strength": 5.988448, "stage": 2, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "up", "direction": 25.758781, "energy": 11.008166, "activity_lines": [ 135.455741, 135.345362, 135.592583, 133.846129 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 138.459154, "volume": 295456, "typical_volume": 1002169.45, "trend": 132.025164, "fair_value": 142.22248, "relative_strength": 5.581573, "stage": 2, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "up", "direction": 36.318892, "energy": 23.770107, "activity_lines": [ 136.841742, 135.772376, 136.06519, 134.260471 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 143.220001, "volume": 623183, "typical_volume": 986551.3, "trend": 132.521164, "fair_value": 142.093918, "relative_strength": 8.288175, "stage": 2, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "up", "direction": 59.953749, "energy": 49.537037, "activity_lines": [ 139.454749, 137.082105, 136.904643, 134.982718 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }