{ "ticker": { "uuid": "39aee1d2-eb14-4a0a-b520-eb1a680bad3f", "symbol": "WSP", "name": "Wynnstay Properties Plc", "exchange": "LSE", "country": "GB", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^FTSE", "stage": 3, "stage_name": "Distribution", "phase": "3a", "phase_label": "Stage 3A \u00b7 Churning", "transition": "stage_3_churning", "transition_label": "Stage 3 range intact", "confidence": 77.073, "architecture_regime": "balance", "architecture_regime_label": "Balance", "architecture_modifier": "Balance after decline", "architecture_gate": "mixed", "architecture_direction": 28.524, "architecture_energy": 21.859, "architecture_maturity": 6.839, "architecture_confidence": 64.961, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.", "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base." }, "scores": { "balance": 43.72, "rotation_up": 54.86, "upward_expansion": 39.15, "deceleration": 32.9, "rotation_down": 16.61, "downward_expansion": 14.15 }, "activity_lines": [ 873.0, 865.435073, 861.502445, 864.697575 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Stable", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.5 }, "latest_close": 895.0, "trend_reference": 868.612863, "distance_from_trend": 0.030378, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 754.337181, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.186472, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -2.951203, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.022857, "excess_performance": -0.028378, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.030378, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.000975, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.186472, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.023666, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.029512, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.00822, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.022857, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 2.893167, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 3027, "relative_activity": 3.884754, "balance": 2.893167, "dry_up": 2.188463, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.032554, "annualized_volatility": 0.096682, "from_high_reference": -0.027174, "from_low_reference": 0.226182 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 868.612863, "fair_value_reference": 754.337181, "structural_low": 829.82626, "invalidation": "A decisive breakout above range resistance with renewed RS leadership invalidates the distribution reading; a range-low break confirms deterioration." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 23, "median_return": 0.0, "positive_rate": 0.391304, "directional_follow_through": 0.391304, "median_excess_return": -0.01794, "regime_survival": 0.652174, "best_return": 0.082982, "worst_return": -0.055172, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 10, "median_return": 0.007445, "positive_rate": 0.6, "directional_follow_through": 0.6, "median_excess_return": -0.016373, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.078236, "worst_return": -0.066667, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": 0.02198, "positive_rate": 0.8, "directional_follow_through": 0.8, "median_excess_return": 0.008589, "regime_survival": 0.4, "best_return": 0.070643, "worst_return": -0.021608, "sufficient": true }, { 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"close": 855.0, "volume": 624, "typical_volume": 535.3, "trend": 868.279529, "fair_value": 750.720314, "relative_strength": -4.94704, "stage": 3, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -32.179449, "energy": 14.722352, "activity_lines": [ 855.987993, 853.659323, 857.955577, 863.36458 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 865.0, "volume": 2950, "typical_volume": 627.75, "trend": 868.112863, "fair_value": 751.909871, "relative_strength": -4.956987, "stage": 3, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -26.11408, "energy": 11.452744, "activity_lines": [ 858.666667, 855.951464, 858.10612, 863.152998 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 865.0, "volume": 220, "typical_volume": 628.95, "trend": 867.946196, "fair_value": 752.987342, "relative_strength": -5.985523, "stage": 3, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -22.398924, "energy": 11.132014, "activity_lines": [ 861.0, 858.149422, 858.351901, 862.952168 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 895.0, "volume": 3027, "typical_volume": 779.2, "trend": 868.612863, "fair_value": 754.337181, "relative_strength": -2.951203, "stage": 3, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 28.524131, "energy": 21.859323, "activity_lines": [ 873.0, 865.435073, 861.502445, 864.697575 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }