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Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^MXX", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 69.523, "architecture_energy": 48.28, "architecture_maturity": 77.824, "architecture_confidence": 64.021, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 14.97, "rotation_up": 49.36, "upward_expansion": 76.13, "deceleration": 68.65, "rotation_down": 27.42, "downward_expansion": 11.8 }, "activity_lines": [ 3153.55332, 3152.845912, 3100.626455, 3065.882706 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.666667 }, "latest_close": 3181.0, "trend_reference": 3022.239754, "distance_from_trend": 0.052531, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 2538.368597, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.253167, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 6.208762, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.069908, "excess_performance": 0.124575, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.052531, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.03767, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.253167, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.020753, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.062088, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.114649, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.069908, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.740781, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 2395, "relative_activity": 0.534038, "balance": 0.740781, "dry_up": 0.454991, "accumulation_observations": 0, "distribution_observations": 0 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.02059, "annualized_volatility": 0.133497, "from_high_reference": -0.013949, "from_low_reference": 0.16977 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 3022.239754, "fair_value_reference": 2538.368597, "structural_low": 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"regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 74.8645, "energy": 79.870163, "activity_lines": [ 3172.380648, 3142.01412, 3081.277005, 3049.033731 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 3097.0, "volume": 467, "typical_volume": 4409.05, "trend": 3013.097721, "fair_value": 2529.785202, "relative_strength": 3.381093, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 61.909701, "energy": 51.39866, "activity_lines": [ 3146.163314, 3141.162478, 3087.326737, 3055.050301 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 3181.0, "volume": 2395, "typical_volume": 4484.7, "trend": 3022.239754, "fair_value": 2538.368597, "relative_strength": 6.208762, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 69.523059, "energy": 48.28043, "activity_lines": [ 3153.55332, 3152.845912, 3100.626455, 3065.882706 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }