{ "ticker": { "uuid": "39e21b55-dd09-43f6-998c-55e52d1be959", "symbol": "KAUSHALYA", "name": "Kaushalya Infrastructure Development Corporation Limited", "exchange": "NSI", "country": "IN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^NSEI", "stage": 1, "stage_name": "Basing", "phase": "1b", "phase_label": "Stage 1B \u00b7 Basing", "transition": "stage_1_building", "transition_label": "Base still building", "confidence": 70.026, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 50.265, "architecture_energy": 22.334, "architecture_maturity": 37.934, "architecture_confidence": 83.153, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 37.85, "rotation_up": 37.34, "upward_expansion": 68.62, "deceleration": 89.04, "rotation_down": 23.7, "downward_expansion": 6.62 }, "activity_lines": [ 926.569999, 924.364537, 906.661187, 890.267848 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.5 }, "latest_close": 943.700012, "trend_reference": 872.869999, "distance_from_trend": 0.081146, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 887.212179, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.063669, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": 0.835537, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.152118, "excess_performance": 0.195827, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.081146, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.006367, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.063669, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.025555, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.008355, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.012574, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.152118, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 6.955143, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 1293, "relative_activity": 0.347478, "balance": 6.955143, "dry_up": 0.606743, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.099098, "annualized_volatility": 0.404384, "from_high_reference": -0.487649, "from_low_reference": 0.258267 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 872.869999, "fair_value_reference": 887.212179, "structural_low": 750.0, "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 20, "median_return": -0.063628, "positive_rate": 0.35, "directional_follow_through": 0.35, "median_excess_return": -0.08497, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.663934, "worst_return": -0.303958, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 9, "median_return": -0.197229, "positive_rate": 0.444444, "directional_follow_through": 0.444444, "median_excess_return": -0.203872, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.360656, "worst_return": -0.295706, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": -0.007907, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": -0.032308, "regime_survival": 0.166667, "best_return": 0.78, "worst_return": -0.232973, 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{ "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-01-31", "end": "2025-07-18", "tenure": "Established", "return": -0.107572, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2025-07-25", "end": "2025-08-22", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.121785, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2025-08-29", "end": "2025-10-03", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.0121, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2025-10-10", "end": "2025-11-28", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.123027, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_down", "label": "Rotation Down", "color": "orange", "start": "2025-12-05", "end": "2026-01-09", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.009278, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": 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"modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 68.496762, "energy": 60.53983, "activity_lines": [ 949.409973, 913.455443, 891.731902, 878.737955 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 912.299988, "volume": 4940, "typical_volume": 3762.8, "trend": 869.913332, "fair_value": 878.893589, "relative_strength": -1.233943, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 49.004703, "energy": 52.512897, "activity_lines": [ 949.449976, 915.612714, 895.507615, 881.523008 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 895.0, "volume": 2282, "typical_volume": 3765.65, "trend": 870.574998, "fair_value": 881.585896, "relative_strength": -0.90637, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 50.054506, "energy": 50.024152, "activity_lines": [ 938.58665, 914.946351, 897.562853, 883.141503 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 909.0, "volume": 516, "typical_volume": 3719.9, "trend": 871.666665, "fair_value": 884.271794, "relative_strength": -1.981405, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 47.157791, "energy": 30.466921, "activity_lines": [ 929.176656, 916.609989, 900.700948, 885.620535 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 943.700012, "volume": 1293, "typical_volume": 3721.1, "trend": 872.869999, "fair_value": 887.212179, "relative_strength": 0.835537, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 50.264572, "energy": 22.334222, "activity_lines": [ 926.569999, 924.364537, 906.661187, 890.267848 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }