{ "ticker": { "uuid": "39ee4130-1bdc-4de3-99b0-ad7784031946", "symbol": "688303", "name": "Xinjiang Daqo New Energy Co.,Ltd.", "exchange": "SHH", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "000001.SS", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -48.036, "architecture_energy": 38.757, "architecture_maturity": 95.332, "architecture_confidence": 61.571, "architecture_tenure": "Extended", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 27.33, "rotation_up": 24.83, "upward_expansion": 16.58, "deceleration": 66.19, "rotation_down": 44.15, "downward_expansion": 66.58 }, "activity_lines": [ 17.709999, 17.670909, 18.836809, 19.821054 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.5 }, "latest_close": 18.969999, "trend_reference": 21.310333, "distance_from_trend": -0.109822, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 25.505044, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.256226, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -22.11996, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.217732, "excess_performance": -0.174528, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.109822, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.140978, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.256226, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.087806, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.2212, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.04417, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.217732, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.58196, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 94647385, "relative_activity": 1.387488, "balance": 0.58196, "dry_up": 0.96698, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 4 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.10174, "annualized_volatility": 0.353476, "from_high_reference": -0.469222, "from_low_reference": 0.232619 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 21.310333, "fair_value_reference": 25.505044, 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"volume": 50614046, "typical_volume": 67190796.65, "trend": 22.261, "fair_value": 25.919122, "relative_strength": -33.785369, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -78.080908, "energy": 87.644654, "activity_lines": [ 16.712, 17.975818, 19.494619, 20.590194 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 16.719999, "volume": 59177710, "typical_volume": 67273348.6, "trend": 21.908667, "fair_value": 25.776684, "relative_strength": -30.2284, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -66.612884, "energy": 81.529473, "activity_lines": [ 16.542666, 17.582909, 19.13019, 20.23271 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 18.129999, "volume": 59410594, "typical_volume": 66484182.85, "trend": 21.572, "fair_value": 25.639055, "relative_strength": -24.100024, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -63.240554, "energy": 56.627191, "activity_lines": [ 17.008666, 17.527636, 18.93, 19.988925 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 18.969999, "volume": 94647385, "typical_volume": 68214922.6, "trend": 21.310333, "fair_value": 25.505044, "relative_strength": -22.11996, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -48.035704, "energy": 38.757384, "activity_lines": [ 17.709999, 17.670909, 18.836809, 19.821054 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }