{ "ticker": { "uuid": "3a12ca38-36ab-4efb-bb1d-b6c133f3dbbc", "symbol": "3059", "name": "Altek Corporation", "exchange": "TAI", "country": "TW", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-14", "benchmark": "^TWII", "stage": 1, "stage_name": "Basing", "phase": "1b", "phase_label": "Stage 1B \u00b7 Basing", "transition": "stage_1_building", "transition_label": "Base still building", "confidence": 58.123, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing", "architecture_gate": "mixed", "architecture_direction": -18.475, "architecture_energy": 28.223, "architecture_maturity": 31.055, "architecture_confidence": 57.363, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.", "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down." }, "scores": { "balance": 47.41, "rotation_up": 14.33, "upward_expansion": 15.59, "deceleration": 64.25, "rotation_down": 63.39, "downward_expansion": 42.92 }, "activity_lines": [ 40.07, 42.318181, 43.155714, 42.194839 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.666667 }, "latest_close": 40.799999, "trend_reference": 41.136667, "distance_from_trend": -0.008184, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 38.513568, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.059367, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -34.277478, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.089453, "excess_performance": -0.351919, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.008184, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.018402, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.059367, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.065654, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.342775, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.007522, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.089453, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.512452, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 8201178, "relative_activity": 0.268185, "balance": 1.512452, "dry_up": 0.31003, "accumulation_observations": 4, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.115008, "annualized_volatility": 0.380681, "from_high_reference": -0.371341, "from_low_reference": 0.165714 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 41.136667, "fair_value_reference": 38.513568, "structural_low": 35.0, "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 10, "median_return": 0.004397, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.017245, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.123512, "worst_return": -0.110978, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": 0.022985, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.045379, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.211508, "worst_return": -0.155243, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": 0.052061, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.111858, "regime_survival": 0.25, "best_return": 0.59395, "worst_return": -0.184322, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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"upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2025-06-06", "end": "2025-06-27", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.020434, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-07-04", "end": "2025-08-15", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.214564, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2025-08-22", "end": "2025-10-10", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.078852, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2025-10-17", "end": "2025-11-28", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.079449, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_down", "label": "Rotation Down", "color": "orange", "start": "2025-12-05", "end": "2026-01-02", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.040888, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2026-01-09", "end": 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38.410908, "relative_strength": -35.939971, "stage": 4, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 3.973905, "energy": 20.590433, "activity_lines": [ 41.296666, 43.963636, 43.452857, 42.280645 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 40.150002, "volume": 8501387, "typical_volume": 30452989.95, "trend": 41.125, "fair_value": 38.457008, "relative_strength": -33.79747, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -16.507488, "energy": 28.14685, "activity_lines": [ 40.236667, 43.061818, 43.278571, 42.215806 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-14", "close": 40.799999, "volume": 8201178, "typical_volume": 30580290.0, "trend": 41.136667, "fair_value": 38.513568, "relative_strength": -34.277478, "stage": 1, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -18.474612, "energy": 28.223227, "activity_lines": [ 40.07, 42.318181, 43.155714, 42.194839 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }